Middle East · resolved market
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd38f1c91c1a1b90d4268afa7178d570c7efe3597ef3271594ab689d7423e597
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $977,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $705,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $977,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefcb…94e1backed Yes | 4c | 82,306$3,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,625.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8967…1e9bbacked Yes | 16c | 46,176$7,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,579.15 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 0c | 34,570$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 187 | 9.1%17 W · 170 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…a8efbacked Yes | 12c | 34,072$3,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,926.36 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…e3e3backed Yes | 4c | 26,898$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e31…901ebacked Yes | 17c | 25,928$4,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.34 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8b…a230backed Yes | 4c | 25,360$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b5…dcd8backed Yes | 4c | 24,410$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…fba2backed Yes | 4c | 23,812$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc762…a47ebacked Yes | 4c | 22,950$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3356…4287backed Yes | 4c | 22,892$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3c…b218backed Yes | 11c | 21,421$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.91 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0f…9d9fbacked Yes | 4c | 20,898$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1773…9235backed Yes | 4c | 20,850$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…ff2cbacked Yes | 4c | 20,636$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…ca6abacked Yes | 12c | 16,796$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.2 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…eb31backed Yes | 4c | 15,590$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed No | 80c | 15,359$12,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,128.39 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5714…c680backed Yes | 20c | 12,892$2,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,612.82 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed Yes | 12c | 12,599$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.73 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 13c | 10,215$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.36 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…dc48backed Yes | 19c | 9,079$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 4c | 7,845$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.22 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22b…f557backed Yes | 5c | 7,192$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db1…46a4backed Yes | 23c | 6,908$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.75 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Yes | 12c | 6,374$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.64 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707c…995fbacked Yes | 17c | 5,137$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…2b5fbacked Yes | 14c | 5,121$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.6 | 73 | 23.3%17 W · 56 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 7c | 4,849$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.19 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Yes | 23c | 4,641$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.42 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…6112backed Yes | 19c | 4,522$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff9b…0245backed Yes | 11c | 4,518$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x922f…69d4backed Yes | 10c | 4,044$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ba…0db1backed Yes | 15c | 3,981$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.52 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked Yes | 16c | 2,907$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.24 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c3…289cbacked Yes | 17c | 2,772$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.52 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c3…2783backed Yes | 14c | 2,716$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 2,579$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…8e90backed Yes | 20c | 2,030$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.8 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c62…44b4backed Yes | 23c | 1,953$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 79c | 1,936$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.57 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54bb…35e5backed Yes | 14c | 1,836$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 22c | 1,823$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.17 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,822$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.12 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 18c | 1,812$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700c…9368backed Yes | 14c | 1,771$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6526…cb35backed Yes | 11c | 1,769$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53d3…60eebacked Yes | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -7.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2a…9835backed Yes | 12c | 1,599$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3084…40eabacked Yes | 17c | 1,511$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4d…5f9fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,469$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 5c | 1,423$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.21 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c21…e775backed Yes | 17c | 1,322$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +60%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4760…0a49backed No | 77c | 1,318$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.69 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +6.1wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…a44bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,288$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe99c…725ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,283$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.18 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 17c | 1,220$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.51 | 136 | 29.4%40 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 9c | 1,211$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.55 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 6c | 1,200$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 58 | 1.7%1 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -93.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 16c | 1,149$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.45 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4785…cdfdbacked Yes | 16c | 1,100$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4418…b4dfbacked Yes | 14c | 1,042$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c62…7c5cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,016$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd7…0643backed Yes | 14c | 1,013$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecef…b593backed No | 67c | 1,000$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.21 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 179 | 31.3%56 W · 123 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c9…22d8backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c46…c1d3backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…19cfbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…c09fbacked Yes | 15c | 999.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 11c | 999.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ad…a218backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…0b1abacked Yes | 9c | 900$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36ae…3567backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x023c…13fdbacked Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1937…d1ebbacked Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648a…94cbbacked Yes | 9c | 800$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +162.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 80c | 795.33$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.97 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0d…32f3backed Yes | 7c | 784.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.14 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea1…adccbacked Yes | 17c | 748.89$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked Yes | 11c | 746.34$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.1 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…cfa0backed Yes | 10c | 740.48$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.05 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc032…6668backed Yes | 17c | 727$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.82 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa116…6f3bbacked Yes | 16c | 720.41$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6779…0400backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…ec8fbacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa656…309cbacked Yes | 12c | 665.93$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.47 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa3…7e1cbacked Yes | 4c | 641.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeacd…8143backed Yes | 11c | 637.58$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.61 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd08e…2f7cbacked Yes | 16c | 631.44$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.44 | 179 | 29.1%52 W · 127 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed4…feedbacked Yes | 21c | 631.34$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…90ccbacked Yes | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b36…0800backed Yes | 18c | 566.67$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b70…03a7backed Yes | 21c | 564.86$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…5af6backed Yes | 12c | 542.83$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…96a0backed Yes | 16c | 515.31$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5770…bafcbacked No | 79c | 508.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 11c | 508.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 291 | 29.9%87 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2633…67b1backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.