Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon tweet 250-274 times Dec 27-Jan 3?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75e5614f2edefcaa5b9186a9defa1e5b4ea8ca8cb0578149fd7dff931c6b2446

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 2, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $150,727
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $115,293

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,727 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3e21…b2f5backed Yes	15c	7,872$1,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,180	188	10.1%19 W · 169 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes	12c	2,386$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.17	36	11.1%4 W · 32 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+49.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes	10c	2,147$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.88	230	3.9%9 W · 221 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-78.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	16c	2,128$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.57	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes	15c	2,100$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	122	28.7%35 W · 87 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3258…9e52backed Yes	15c	1,847$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.58	71	9.9%7 W · 64 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-50%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa59c…bb62backed Yes	12c	1,800$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.88	174	19%33 W · 141 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes	3c	1,662$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.07	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes	16c	1,620$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.5	32	9.4%3 W · 29 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2741…0865backed Yes	18c	1,578$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.55	170	12.9%22 W · 148 L	-10.7wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2104…a495backed Yes	16c	1,574$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.46	104	7.7%8 W · 96 L	-8.4wins	-0.08per pick	16cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x62dd…869abacked Yes	18c	1,498$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.83	36	16.7%6 W · 30 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x98ae…9c6ebacked Yes	13c	1,474$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.32	116	10.3%12 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e8…77d2backed Yes	16c	1,430$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.71	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	11c	1,160$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.58	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	15c	1,123$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.48	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c23…b248backed Yes	20c	1,118$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.28	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	-4.2wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4ae…36ddbacked Yes	20c	1,034$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.88	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08aa…e310backed Yes	10c	1,011$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.21	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf0…f811backed Yes	20c	991.55$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.69	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11c8…be84backed Yes	20c	967.28$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.23	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-37%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf3b…5acabacked Yes	10c	947.89$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.79	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-18%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7891…d421backed Yes	14c	909.88$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.38	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes	16c	909.3$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.36	143	14.7%21 W · 122 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26c7…e48dbacked Yes	25c	797.58$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e80…3082backed Yes	13c	746.96$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-67.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8bf…d806backed Yes	12c	666.4$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.75	55	16.4%9 W · 46 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-53.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf92…55cbbacked Yes	18c	658.11$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.74	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	+191.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	14c	657.86$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.4	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x462e…ae75backed Yes	16c	635.27$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.27	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x965f…8b54backed Yes	20c	599.99$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes	17c	599.76$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.96	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf55e…0c66backed Yes	14c	582.78$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.93	265	8.7%23 W · 242 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x926f…8b8dbacked Yes	10c	547.64$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.56	90	14.4%13 W · 77 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01e3…d649backed Yes	18c	542.13$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.93	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe157…6db1backed Yes	23c	520$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.35	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc3c…b218backed Yes	18c	504$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.23	30	16.7%5 W · 25 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0302…f3fabacked Yes	24c	500$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-1.8wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad8c…8cc3backed Yes	23c	500$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	114	21.1%24 W · 90 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x277b…c68dbacked Yes	16c	500$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5023…3f6abacked Yes	10c	499.99$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	17cpaid	+104%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab8e…3d89backed Yes	21c	487.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	47	10.6%5 W · 42 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-79.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54a7…9c79backed Yes	15c	474.26$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.32	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	-4.4wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x15d9…b270backed Yes	19c	472.07$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.5	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5931…67c8backed Yes	20c	462.07$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.41	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	24cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Yes	22c	448.17$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.06	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x678b…5482backed Yes	15c	435.29$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+128.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb29…625bbacked Yes	14c	428.57$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb4…f360backed Yes	6c	423.51$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.69	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb30…e635backed Yes	12c	416.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd87b…2ce4backed Yes	24c	412.35$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.76	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20bd…3a63backed Yes	18c	400$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2684…d3d6backed Yes	7c	399.97$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.7	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3687…b1d6backed Yes	17c	394.12$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	50	10%5 W · 45 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	+137.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xccf9…21f6backed Yes	13c	366.25$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.56	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c54…bd19backed Yes	17c	352.24$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.88	34	26.5%9 W · 25 L	+2.4wins	+0.07per pick	19cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4335…6842backed Yes	16c	339.81$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	31	3.2%1 W · 30 L	-3.1wins	-0.10per pick	13cpaid	-94.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xccab…cb62backed Yes	15c	333.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	15c	322.69$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.35	797	35.9%286 W · 511 L	-34.4wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d71…6945backed Yes	15c	314.59$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.08	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	+3.1wins	+0.07per pick	21cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb51b…06b7backed Yes	18c	309.1$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	104	19.2%20 W · 84 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Yes	11c	300$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	93	8.6%8 W · 85 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44aa…42a4backed Yes	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-2.5wins	-0.15per pick	33cpaid	-74%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb99a…a00fbacked Yes	10c	299.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44a…a403backed Yes	14c	280.7$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	36	25%9 W · 27 L	+3.1wins	+0.09per pick	16cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01f9…699dbacked Yes	18c	256.67$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.2	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	18cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28d6…8322backed Yes	18c	252.49$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	58	15.5%9 W · 49 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fd3…8757backed Yes	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x189a…3692backed Yes	19c	250$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…9fc9backed Yes	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	22cpaid	-75.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97fb…02eabacked Yes	12c	229.97$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.9	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.14per pick	29cpaid	+101.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb1e…230abacked Yes	13c	226$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.38	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d9e…547dbacked Yes	18c	223.89$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	55	18.2%10 W · 45 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cf2…a201backed Yes	12c	218.86$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	19cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c2d…ac46backed Yes	13c	215.38$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	128	14.1%18 W · 110 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x969a…e4c5backed Yes	14c	187.65$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.02	113	10.6%12 W · 101 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-56%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x155b…77b0backed Yes	19c	186.95$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	22cpaid	-70.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6dd…d56fbacked Yes	16c	184.31$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd4…8643backed Yes	16c	176.44$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.11	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	+85%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x498f…7b7fbacked Yes	11c	172.51$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.75	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	12cpaid	-80.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1240…3a3fbacked Yes	20c	171.9$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…edb0backed Yes	15c	170$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba9…6ba7backed Yes	18c	166.43$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-2.6wins	-0.20per pick	28cpaid	-89.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7036…b62ebacked Yes	18c	142.69$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcd7…e61bbacked Yes	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15f6…e98fbacked Yes	15c	131.64$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	122	16.4%20 W · 102 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e6…ab7abacked Yes	16c	125.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfda4…4547backed Yes	13c	115.38$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	24	12.5%3 W · 21 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-67.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1667…6e35backed Yes	18c	109.6$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	24cpaid	-73%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc98…f205backed Yes	24c	105.74$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f5…bc23backed Yes	23c	104.91$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…10c0backed Yes	23c	103.67$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.81	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x720a…a531backed Yes	18c	101.37$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.94	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01f…74abbacked Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-66.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ae…3327backed Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab9f…f634backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14cb…bb98backed Yes	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-2.0wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d22…ec35backed Yes	22c	100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	32	12.5%4 W · 28 L	-3.2wins	-0.10per pick	23cpaid	-76%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1013…7e57backed Yes	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.83	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon tweet 250-274 times Dec 27-Jan 3?this page
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Dec 27-Jan 3?No won
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Dec 27-Jan 3?No won
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Dec 27-Jan 3?No won
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Dec 27-Jan 3?No won
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Dec 27-Jan 3?No won
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Dec 27-Jan 3?Yes won
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Dec 27-Jan 3?No won
Will Elon tweet 450 or more times Dec 27-Jan 3?No won
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times Dec 27-Jan 3?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon tweet 250-274 times Dec 27-Jan 3?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event