Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on February 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b5363e3e7db0239a0f1bdb4a467ebaf6261a88fc392665be358c4f0f187a16c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f5f…7e41backed Yes | 0c | 6,850$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6e…929dbacked Yes | 0c | 6,287$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 4c | 3,272$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.32 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 3c | 2,046$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.89 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 13c | 2,027$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.28 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed80…0022backed Yes | 2c | 1,608$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 18c | 1,458$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.49 | 886 | 28.9%256 W · 630 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffb…119dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,241$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.95 | 430 | 21.9%94 W · 336 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…024dbacked Yes | 4c | 870.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 827.45$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 21c | 671.62$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.91 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed Yes | 16c | 404.81$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b82…c4e7backed Yes | 7c | 280$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9791…a14abacked No | 72c | 278.66$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.61 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 27c | 248.63$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.71 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 31c | 239$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.22 | 358 | 43.9%157 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed Yes | 27c | 233.07$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x726c…e6f0backed Yes | 38c | 210.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.97 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 68c | 203.78$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b0…ab64backed Yes | 47c | 179.19$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.56 | 294 | 59.5%175 W · 119 L | +20.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 22c | 169.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 68c | 163.53$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef0f…1dc9backed Yes | 28c | 159.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 34c | 154.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x093a…1b3fbacked No | 65c | 154.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.32 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…e60fbacked Yes | 8c | 143.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 12c | 139.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 34c | 122.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…c4c5backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c0…f014backed Yes | 36c | 110.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…34d2backed No | 70c | 107.74$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.74 | 66 | 74.2%49 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 12c | 106.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 346 | 18.8%65 W · 281 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 28c | 100.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1e…1dc1backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8744…3d64backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ada9backed Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 236 | 33.1%78 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13dd…b2b7backed Yes | 34c | 89.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…d4cebacked Yes | 34c | 87.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 29c | 84.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 19c | 72.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 35c | 70.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…96e3backed No | 61c | 66.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 522 | 45%235 W · 287 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…9236backed Yes | 44c | 65.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 354 | 32.5%115 W · 239 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa537…e569backed No | 69c | 62.04$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 67cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 31c | 62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 250 | 29.2%73 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…3587backed No | 75c | 60.03$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 273 | 76.6%209 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 57c | 58.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Yes | 28c | 58.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 542 | 32.3%175 W · 367 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bb…b3b7backed Yes | 41c | 58.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Yes | 35c | 57.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 409 | 35%143 W · 266 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf864…496fbacked No | 67c | 55.62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed Yes | 46c | 54.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked No | 78c | 51.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 576 | 59%340 W · 236 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c1…d67cbacked No | 59c | 50.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b7…8030backed No | 68c | 50.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 125 | 64.8%81 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x517e…4fb2backed No | 67c | 50.35$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 90 | 76.7%69 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe085…cd9abacked Yes | 37c | 45.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6d…1358backed Yes | 26c | 43.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775c…28a9backed No | 65c | 42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…9afabacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…379bbacked Yes | 49c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 37c | 37.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953a…9dedbacked No | 62c | 37.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…f5c3backed Yes | 28c | 36.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…42c3backed Yes | 33c | 33.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 63c | 33.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2b…36f4backed No | 60c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…1ad4backed No | 72c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf465…8a3bbacked No | 68c | 31.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 40 | 80%32 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd22b…acfcbacked Yes | 40c | 30.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x686b…5de0backed Yes | 40c | 27.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…8681backed Yes | 42c | 27.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 69c | 26.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd76c…7c92backed No | 61c | 24.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x594e…408dbacked No | 66c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7088…0086backed No | 69c | 21.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf413…3f6cbacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 562 | 65.5%368 W · 194 L | +35.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…d64fbacked No | 62c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 191 | 71.7%137 W · 54 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1345…e4debacked No | 71c | 15.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 76 | 76.3%58 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on February 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on February 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on February 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or higher on February 27?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C or below on February 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on February 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on February 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on February 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on February 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.