Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or higher on February 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2f2f3a3fdc226d159bb31673d2251deb612bc813867f91926e71a94ef00f87b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3899…cabebacked No | 0c | 5,035$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed80…0022backed No | 1c | 2,503$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 12c | 2,295$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b5…60d5backed Yes | 44c | 1,496$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.16 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed No | 5c | 1,444$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.32 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…fb46backed Yes | 69c | 1,426$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.79 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 20c | 1,025$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.87 | 886 | 28.9%256 W · 630 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…8681backed Yes | 62c | 908.77$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.35 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 6c | 895.82$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9582…0ddbbacked Yes | 51c | 807.05$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.7 | 119 | 30.3%36 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed No | 12c | 802.43$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.14 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7482…6cf6backed Yes | 76c | 756.9$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.28 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…024dbacked No | 3c | 721.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…1adfbacked No | 60c | 703.21$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 312 | 62.5%195 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…8a56backed No | 65c | 542.43$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 46c | 512.07$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 33c | 497.3$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.23 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 44c | 475.44$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.08 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed No | 67c | 458.42$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.67 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 7c | 422.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed Yes | 77c | 386.49$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.48 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ff…9adbbacked No | 7c | 378.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +238.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 6c | 359.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…d4cebacked No | 69c | 348.62$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.42 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 60c | 240$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.53 | 358 | 43.9%157 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…9236backed Yes | 67c | 216.92$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.21 | 354 | 32.5%115 W · 239 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…e18dbacked No | 58c | 214.07$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 24c | 206.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 58c | 205.8$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.46 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 37c | 182.06$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.7 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b9…3296backed No | 12c | 162.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47af…3999backed No | 31c | 161.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 18c | 156.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.21 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b3…487cbacked Yes | 39c | 153.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.84 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked Yes | 42c | 143.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.4 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 59c | 141.58$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.22 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 17c | 131.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 346 | 17.9%62 W · 284 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b82…c4e7backed No | 46c | 113.51$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 31c | 110$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8744…3d64backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9a…49e3backed Yes | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 21c | 99.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c0…f014backed No | 65c | 97.85$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Yes | 65c | 97.22$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 164 | 32.9%54 W · 110 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…44f0backed No | 65c | 96.26$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.57 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b0…ab64backed Yes | 69c | 96.02$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 294 | 59.5%175 W · 119 L | +20.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 58c | 94.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f88…da69backed No | 54c | 92.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5084…fb85backed Yes | 15c | 90$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.2 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 17cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 12c | 88.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.55 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8209…62b6backed Yes | 18c | 80.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6a…5192backed No | 62c | 80.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe599…0dd3backed No | 62c | 80.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…1513backed Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78eb…5134backed No | 77c | 80$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe31e…ec88backed Yes | 17c | 78.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.95 | 559 | 19.1%107 W · 452 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 24c | 77.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 42c | 76.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 59c | 73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 20c | 70.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…cf4bbacked Yes | 43c | 69.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…96e3backed Yes | 58c | 68.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 522 | 45%235 W · 287 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…48fabacked Yes | 41c | 68.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf864…496fbacked No | 53c | 66.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2b…36f4backed No | 62c | 65.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 76c | 65.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked Yes | 74c | 63.93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 576 | 59%340 W · 236 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed Yes | 63c | 62.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked No | 48c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 55c | 58.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed Yes | 26c | 56.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa537…e569backed Yes | 44c | 53.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 67cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…038bbacked Yes | 28c | 52.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 294 | 69.7%205 W · 89 L | +26.7wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed3…0fe3backed No | 58c | 52.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca4…817ebacked Yes | 36c | 52.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 52.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 59c | 50.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4122…6c07backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…c0a5backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 247 | 10.9%27 W · 220 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a8…9f68backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 346 | 33.8%117 W · 229 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 73c | 45.44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…2342backed No | 77c | 45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…a96cbacked Yes | 31c | 42.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 810 | 29.1%236 W · 574 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…85d4backed Yes | 35c | 42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…a398backed Yes | 56c | 41.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 25c | 41.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb3…d405backed No | 72c | 41.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…42c3backed Yes | 44c | 40.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…1ad4backed No | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8e…31c0backed Yes | 66c | 39.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…e119backed Yes | 29c | 38.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…596cbacked Yes | 72c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 214 | 48.6%104 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Yes | 44c | 37.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed Yes | 74c | 35.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…a01abacked Yes | 68c | 35.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 616 | 59.3%365 W · 251 L | +68.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf413…3f6cbacked Yes | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 72c | 34.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 54c | 33.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 45c | 31.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 336 | 20.2%68 W · 268 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or higher on February 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on February 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on February 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on February 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C or below on February 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on February 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on February 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on February 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on February 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.