Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x860139a03f5b869618f2555db904ace70baf3fa82d8cb9e22061b0aa2d1f0831
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 38c | 752.75$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.16 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 33c | 456.31$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.19 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 19c | 370.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.41 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 23c | 299.26$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.74 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 66c | 256.15$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.61 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 40c | 239.75$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.1 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 9c | 222.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…9a53backed Yes | 33c | 220$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.65 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 62c | 213$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.51 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 63c | 212.33$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.45 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 58c | 172.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 62c | 168.24$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.79 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 68c | 165.95$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.39 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 63c | 165.87$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed No | 79c | 156.52$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.84 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 25c | 144.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.43 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 19c | 121.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 26c | 120.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.85 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 74c | 112.27$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.08 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 51c | 98.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 59c | 97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 67c | 95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.21 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 52c | 94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.91 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 54c | 90.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 40c | 89.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cb…015fbacked Yes | 17c | 88.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.79 | 200 | 27.5%55 W · 145 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked No | 71c | 88.49$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.44 | 635 | 38.4%244 W · 391 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 36c | 87.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.78 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 36c | 87.18$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed Yes | 41c | 87$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 30c | 85.35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.38 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 42c | 85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 34c | 83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.76 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 20c | 82.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 25c | 81.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…66b4backed Yes | 27c | 79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.67 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7a…3e93backed Yes | 67c | 74.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce2…d7cbbacked Yes | 21c | 72.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.61 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 53c | 64.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…5182backed Yes | 41c | 60.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed Yes | 30c | 59.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…3667backed Yes | 26c | 57.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 69c | 56.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 43c | 55.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 73c | 53.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed Yes | 34c | 51.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc744…c967backed No | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 29c | 51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.03 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d42…a046backed No | 23c | 50.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 67c | 50.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…e100backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 227 | 44.1%100 W · 127 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 64c | 47.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15da…4e2abacked No | 75c | 46.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 24c | 45.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…66f7backed Yes | 25c | 44.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 68c | 43.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 68c | 39.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 67c | 39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 38c | 36.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d62…72cdbacked No | 66c | 35.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 51c | 35.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 323 | 52.9%171 W · 152 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8e…aa69backed No | 62c | 33.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 308 | 49%151 W · 157 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…5cccbacked Yes | 40c | 32.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b1…dcc0backed No | 66c | 30.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 46c | 29.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 74c | 29.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d7…6ff5backed Yes | 37c | 28.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 48c | 27.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0x268e…791ebacked No | 73c | 27.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 74c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…f434backed No | 76c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 475 | 69.5%330 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed No | 61c | 26.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…af38backed No | 78c | 25.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…8d54backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 276 | 69.2%191 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63a1…0212backed No | 73c | 24.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 252 | 58.7%148 W · 104 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…b70dbacked Yes | 48c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x841b…a2a7backed No | 68c | 23.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 80c | 22.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 1,313 | 76.1%999 W · 314 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…2ee3backed Yes | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5020…8d64backed No | 68c | 22.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 75c | 20.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3f…5d84backed No | 74c | 19.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 802 | 75.7%607 W · 195 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a8…ffa4backed No | 73c | 19.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…fde7backed No | 56c | 19.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…b2a8backed No | 62c | 19.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…ab78backed No | 79c | 18.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 67c | 18.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…e17ebacked No | 58c | 18.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…68d3backed No | 75c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 73c | 15.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2af3…bcb4backed No | 67c | 15.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.