Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb16a6345cbbada4bcbfe0a2086f341e3f816fd49e29ab1e0657c163bb6c50e7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 30c | 1,888$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.45 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 31c | 527.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.81 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 32c | 451.38$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.52 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…2013backed No | 69c | 420.54$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.19 | 314 | 54.1%170 W · 144 L | +31.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed Yes | 28c | 398.36$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.48 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…ca44backed No | 69c | 330$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 70c | 306$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked Yes | 49c | 303.98$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.23 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 29c | 286.28$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.43 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 66c | 273.86$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.11 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 9c | 247.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 32c | 223.29$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.78 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…9a53backed Yes | 34c | 220.31$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.41 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 59c | 213$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.92 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…6c9abacked Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 78c | 198$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5484…84e8backed No | 49c | 193$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.03 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 23c | 160.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f6a6backed No | 70c | 158.8$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.31 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 68c | 134.8$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cb…015fbacked Yes | 30c | 120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 200 | 27.5%55 W · 145 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 35c | 117.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 34c | 115$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 73c | 110.53$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 28c | 104.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 73c | 90.55$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 25c | 86.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 30c | 85.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed Yes | 31c | 79.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 72c | 79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 69c | 79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 69c | 65.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 68c | 57.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 66c | 56.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 74c | 50.24$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 69c | 50.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 67c | 50.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 62c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 1,585 | 78.5%1,244 W · 341 L | +39.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 70c | 47.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…517ebacked Yes | 37c | 47.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 1,643 | 27.8%456 W · 1,187 L | +117.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea4a…39d3backed Yes | 42c | 47.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f1…d881backed No | 36c | 46.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 67c | 46.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…9ac7backed No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 66c | 43.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed Yes | 35c | 43.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5579…2db1backed No | 70c | 43.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…b997backed Yes | 42c | 41.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed Yes | 50c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e7…8b59backed Yes | 41c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 434 | 41.5%180 W · 254 L | +29.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 67c | 39.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 49c | 39.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 65c | 38.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 72c | 38.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 29c | 37.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f9…9ab0backed Yes | 49c | 36.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 138 | 38.4%53 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…99eabacked Yes | 51c | 36.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 31c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x506c…840cbacked Yes | 64c | 35.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 151 | 52.3%79 W · 72 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 29c | 35.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4c…17cebacked Yes | 33c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 34c | 32.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 62c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…f434backed No | 62c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 475 | 69.5%330 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…d21ebacked Yes | 56c | 30.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 74c | 30.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 51c | 29.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…66b4backed No | 73c | 28.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd670…1e02backed No | 76c | 26.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 222 | 65.8%146 W · 76 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6a…65e1backed No | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33d…3ef2backed No | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 456 | 75.2%343 W · 113 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe63a…0679backed No | 66c | 21.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b6…3b38backed No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 471 | 75.6%356 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb073…54fbbacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…2efebacked Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 404 | 61.4%248 W · 156 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 69c | 18.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db6…e1f8backed No | 65c | 18.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 74c | 18.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 61c | 18.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 71c | 17.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7f…8282backed No | 73c | 17.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked No | 76c | 16.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 92 | 72.8%67 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 63c | 16.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 66c | 15.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 72c | 14.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 79c | 14.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.01 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 23?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.