Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x834bfaa8aaa8563ab9d423aa2c186edae4a79a7f9e4519357409659a16aaec57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,758
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,758 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38e9…4355backed Yes | 36c | 2,334$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 38cpaid | +103%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5500…b4f6backed Yes | 30c | 1,647$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.62 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 2c | 1,610$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…53b0backed Yes | 71c | 1,534$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.35 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 46c | 1,350$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.54 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 39c | 1,316$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.4 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 41c | 1,012$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.23 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 67c | 1,005$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.37 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 32c | 938.64$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 63c | 685.84$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.44 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 30c | 655.22$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.27 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 40c | 606.79$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.62 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 37c | 601.62$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.12 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed No | 13c | 593.46$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 44c | 590.67$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.09 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x438a…61c4backed No | 63c | 536.83$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.96 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | +19.0wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 63c | 519.28$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.95 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…44bcbacked Yes | 36c | 508$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 32c | 492.83$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.24 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 32c | 443.86$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.26 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 57c | 427.64$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.12 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 64c | 350$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 29c | 336.73$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked Yes | 47c | 317.43$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.03 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 54c | 295.38$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.31 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 31c | 257.87$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.09 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 64c | 250$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 361 | 50.4%182 W · 179 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 63c | 249.17$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.84 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…47a9backed Yes | 37c | 238.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 31c | 235.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.68 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 63c | 234.22$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.66 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 41c | 230$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.4 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 47c | 228$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.65 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 63c | 220.75$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.15 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 15c | 210.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 12c | 209.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 51c | 205.66$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.21 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 57c | 197.84$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 22c | 193.81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b6…92d5backed No | 65c | 190.74$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.05 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 63cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 63c | 187.01$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.73 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…5704backed Yes | 29c | 185.96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.3 | 190 | 22.1%42 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb9…ce8fbacked No | 11c | 185$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 27c | 183.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 65c | 183.89$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.69 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d72…9461backed Yes | 29c | 161.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.51 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 38c | 159.59$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.59 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 31c | 158$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.41 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 21c | 157.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 23c | 154.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…ca44backed No | 43c | 150$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 63c | 148.33$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.63 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…4a6dbacked Yes | 35c | 144.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.83 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 63c | 144.28$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.29 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 41c | 143$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…0af7backed No | 72c | 139.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 328 | 72%236 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 64c | 138.5$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.64 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb507…7f2abacked Yes | 39c | 138.47$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.31 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 38c | 136.93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.33 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 67c | 134.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.01 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…f7fdbacked No | 60c | 134.62$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.54 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 40c | 130.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.06 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa287…416cbacked Yes | 34c | 130.03$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.57 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…87d3backed Yes | 31c | 123.93$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.02 | 303 | 32.3%98 W · 205 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 34c | 123.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 21c | 122.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 41c | 122.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.74 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 54c | 121.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.68 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 71c | 120.14$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed No | 72c | 119.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.39 | 444 | 48.6%216 W · 228 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…259bbacked Yes | 79c | 117$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcd…82e4backed Yes | 30c | 112.09$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.01 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 67c | 107$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.77 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9848…f408backed Yes | 34c | 105.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 67c | 104.29$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.36 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda56…4176backed Yes | 36c | 100.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.88 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 78c | 100.27$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.07 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.09 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e9…0208backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae8…d952backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb1…6644backed Yes | 34c | 99.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.98 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 28c | 99.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.55 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 20c | 98.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 31c | 97.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.89 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 76c | 95.57$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 65c | 94$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.98 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…efa0backed No | 32c | 92.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 33c | 90$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 42c | 89.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5579…2db1backed No | 64c | 85.88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked No | 66c | 85.75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x970d…022ebacked No | 66c | 84.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.32 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 67c | 79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.88 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 67c | 79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.88 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 67c | 78.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.09 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x179e…2fe3backed No | 63c | 76.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 31c | 70$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 173 | 24.3%42 W · 131 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed Yes | 32c | 68.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.69 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed Yes | 34c | 67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or below on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.