Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c04bcb0e880966f14ab87ae6a127302ce0c66b0d9b67e38816b132df511576c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9ee…3026backed Yes | 0c | 6,311$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 27c | 1,384$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.89 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 24c | 1,260$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.25 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 74c | 607$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.16 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…53b0backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 69c | 495.99$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.4 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7c…d7b8backed No | 79c | 353.03$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.3 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 29c | 340$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.38 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 24c | 284.61$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.39 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 21c | 272.25$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.52 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 80c | 265.22$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.27 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked Yes | 24c | 247.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.77 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 77c | 228$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.57 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 21c | 226.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 21c | 225.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.41 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…87d3backed Yes | 21c | 197.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 303 | 32.3%98 W · 205 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 20c | 195.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 31c | 194.28$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.61 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…efa0backed No | 68c | 190$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.91 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 71c | 186.41$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.97 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 77c | 186.34$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617a…8c79backed Yes | 22c | 186.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 24c | 176.93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 26c | 174.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 77c | 173$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 18c | 162.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 548 | 53.1%291 W · 257 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 75c | 161.19$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 24c | 157.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 76c | 150.65$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 23c | 150$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 74c | 149.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba95…ec86backed Yes | 21c | 140.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 76c | 135.07$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 30c | 126.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…4a6dbacked Yes | 25c | 120.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 76c | 120$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 28c | 111.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9008…09f0backed Yes | 10c | 107.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 76c | 104.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 73c | 103.65$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…b496backed No | 80c | 97.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 75c | 94.21$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 15c | 92.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 23c | 83.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 72c | 81.01$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc90d…c9d2backed No | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 78c | 69.14$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 25c | 65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 71c | 61.02$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe679…636abacked Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 78c | 56.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 76c | 55.21$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Yes | 29c | 54.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 27cpaid | +256.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 70c | 54.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 78c | 51.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 74c | 51.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 270 | 56.7%153 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…0b45backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…29ecbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…ca44backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac0…28ebbacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 77c | 49.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…5e20backed No | 79c | 49.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 23c | 48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 76c | 47.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 30c | 46.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 77c | 44.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02d…bcffbacked No | 72c | 44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 66c | 43.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 348 | 46.6%162 W · 186 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd372…04bebacked No | 69c | 39.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 80c | 37.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 79c | 36.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 75c | 34.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 74c | 32.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 69c | 32.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 71c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 78c | 31.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec42…5ffbbacked No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 151 | 76.8%116 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 76cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 80c | 28.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 78c | 27.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce1…3a27backed No | 74c | 27.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…0fe5backed No | 73c | 24.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 515 | 68%350 W · 165 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 73c | 21.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 80c | 20.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 78c | 20.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7f…2015backed No | 66c | 19.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 70c | 17.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…2718backed No | 77c | 16.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 427 | 54.6%233 W · 194 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 78c | 15.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 71c | 15.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 284 | 56%159 W · 125 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 69c | 15.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 649 | 60.2%391 W · 258 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or below on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 25?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.