Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbfa0a5e65d41782fdb526d2a13f8ee25b25c3ea33566ddde1abb7bd509d122f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 16c | 4,082$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.7 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 13c | 1,016$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.6 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 2c | 837.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 14c | 699.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.63 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 77c | 555.62$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5a…7daabacked Yes | 5c | 432.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 79c | 430$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.52 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 78c | 416.14$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.75 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 25c | 399.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 17c | 258.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 24c | 255.86$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.65 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…efa0backed Yes | 14c | 234.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 24c | 225$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 76c | 204.26$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.78 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9008…09f0backed Yes | 20c | 196.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bc…8853backed Yes | 25c | 196.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 20c | 194.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 23c | 191.87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 22c | 188.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 26c | 178.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed Yes | 20c | 173$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d72…9461backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 20c | 158.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 76c | 157.69$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.56 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…8317backed Yes | 21c | 154.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…087bbacked Yes | 25c | 152.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -67%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…038bbacked Yes | 19c | 151.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 294 | 69.7%205 W · 89 L | +26.7wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 22c | 148.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 18c | 146.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 79c | 144.97$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d8…03eabacked Yes | 15c | 133.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 116 | 12.1%14 W · 102 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f6a6backed No | 79c | 132.58$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 70c | 130.11$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 74c | 130$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 348 | 53.4%186 W · 162 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed No | 68c | 128.45$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 14c | 126.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9848…f408backed Yes | 23c | 124.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 72c | 124.56$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 17c | 122.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed No | 75c | 121.8$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 17c | 120$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…afb5backed Yes | 25c | 118.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 75c | 109.01$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 26c | 107$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…1f70backed Yes | 26c | 106.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…bbbebacked Yes | 19c | 102.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…0d5dbacked Yes | 22c | 101.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 23c | 100.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda56…4176backed Yes | 21c | 96.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 76c | 95.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 72c | 93.19$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…e196backed Yes | 27c | 92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 71c | 91.67$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 75c | 84.3$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…87d3backed Yes | 31c | 83.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 303 | 32.3%98 W · 205 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 26c | 82.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 21c | 81.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 25c | 81.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…4328backed Yes | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 18c | 79.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 73c | 79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 212 | 68.4%145 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…b9bebacked Yes | 26c | 77.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +31.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 80c | 77.07$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 76c | 76.45$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 27c | 74.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 69c | 63.78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea4a…39d3backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 77c | 59.97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7076…b1e4backed Yes | 26c | 57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 79c | 55.94$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 24c | 55.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…c395backed Yes | 26c | 55.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 74c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 19c | 54.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 173 | 24.3%42 W · 131 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 74c | 54.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7c…d7b8backed Yes | 33c | 54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a09…6a68backed No | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked Yes | 21c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 435 | 59.8%260 W · 175 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 66c | 50.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…ea2fbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…e47abacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 181 | 31.5%57 W · 124 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa5…c42fbacked No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7faa…c757backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c54…02e9backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 304 | 42.8%130 W · 174 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 270 | 56.7%153 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b58…d734backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…4331backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f5…8fd4backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…42efbacked No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | -13.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…f7fdbacked No | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 60c | 49.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or below on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 25?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.