Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf5387b80989af2948a245d34508d586562e2c0c03abb5f3f1413652fdc6b0bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked Yes | 31c | 1,123$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.81 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 60c | 578.1$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.54 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f20…7163backed Yes | 28c | 294.83$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.21 | 353 | 25.5%90 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 43c | 287.2$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.59 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 70c | 255$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.55 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 22c | 242.22$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb8…a530backed Yes | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 24c | 198.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 73c | 172.28$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.06 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 17c | 162$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 62c | 160.95$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.32 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…99eabacked Yes | 33c | 148.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 45c | 139.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 52c | 139.69$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.64 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 66c | 129.06$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.89 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 59c | 124.1$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.04 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 68c | 112.27$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.23 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 70c | 104.57$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.51 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 20c | 103.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.1 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed No | 25c | 99.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 53c | 98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 43c | 84.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 51c | 82.23$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed No | 66c | 82$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed No | 66c | 80.63$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce07…5c3cbacked Yes | 65c | 80.34$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 310 | 62.6%194 W · 116 L | +38.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 63c | 77.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 68c | 76.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaafc…ec67backed Yes | 54c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 447 | 57.3%256 W · 191 L | +53.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 70c | 73$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.39 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…f649backed Yes | 34c | 71.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.24 | 199 | 47.7%95 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked No | 69c | 70$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 69c | 70$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 66c | 65.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed No | 71c | 63.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 74c | 57.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 26c | 56.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 35c | 55.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ae…d801backed Yes | 27c | 54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…c51dbacked No | 20c | 52.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 51c | 50.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 73c | 50.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…5cccbacked No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…4983backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 336 | 54.2%182 W · 154 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…ea2fbacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 304 | 42.8%130 W · 174 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89cc…9e01backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6a…65e1backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61c…4dd6backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 71c | 49.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 58c | 48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 32c | 47.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 62c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 314 | 42.4%133 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 70c | 43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 74c | 41.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1,088 | 55.5%604 W · 484 L | -27.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 63c | 39.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8e…aa69backed Yes | 33c | 39.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 308 | 49%151 W · 157 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 70c | 38.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 32c | 36.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…3667backed Yes | 40c | 36.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b0…7c9abacked No | 69c | 36.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…2330backed Yes | 70c | 35.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe45…fd22backed No | 53c | 35.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 68c | 34.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…b97bbacked Yes | 59c | 33.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 524 | 46.2%242 W · 282 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 52c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…9ac7backed No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…b8aebacked No | 70c | 31.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 264 | 58.7%155 W · 109 L | -20.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…f434backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 475 | 69.5%330 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe266…03b5backed Yes | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 59c | 29.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 40c | 29.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 37c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 66c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 40c | 28.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d39…099abacked No | 60c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 64c | 22.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…9ff8backed Yes | 67c | 22.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x890c…9068backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fd…15a0backed No | 71c | 18.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…ad82backed No | 69c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…4e61backed No | 69c | 15.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…9600backed Yes | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 102°F or higher on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on June 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.