Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa946543879b04cea3d58a03ca45d8e1b347509d3be95fa722c43ccdd1e236a66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked Yes | 33c | 2,074$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.36 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 29c | 390.77$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.86 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 66c | 310.04$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.59 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 73c | 306.77$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.19 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 28c | 279.05$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.04 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 74c | 259.85$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.56 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 65c | 203.46$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.64 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 7c | 175.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce07…5c3cbacked No | 70c | 175.23$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.66 | 310 | 62.6%194 W · 116 L | +38.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 63c | 158.19$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 26c | 145.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…99eabacked Yes | 33c | 145.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f9…9ab0backed Yes | 38c | 142.16$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 138 | 38.4%53 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f20…7163backed Yes | 30c | 142.04$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 353 | 25.5%90 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 24c | 126.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 70c | 124$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.02 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 69c | 117.56$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 26c | 116$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 82 | 15.9%13 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 67c | 112.27$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 76c | 111.16$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 70c | 109.97$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 61c | 108.51$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 27c | 94.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x427a…4e18backed Yes | 21c | 94.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 64c | 94.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.37 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 51c | 93.15$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…2330backed No | 76c | 92.96$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 21c | 92.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 24c | 81.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 60c | 81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 51c | 80.72$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 21c | 78.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…a66ebacked Yes | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 728 | 37.8%275 W · 453 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 38c | 74.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…f649backed Yes | 33c | 73.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 199 | 47.7%95 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ead…8046backed No | 80c | 70.47$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 46 | 84.8%39 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 77cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 69c | 70.35$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed No | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 27c | 62.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 28c | 62.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 52c | 62.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked No | 75c | 62.36$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 64c | 61.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed No | 63c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 51c | 54.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d41…24d7backed Yes | 47c | 53.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 64c | 52.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked No | 74c | 51.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 70c | 50.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5409…9dcdbacked No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 50cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…ea2fbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47af…799bbacked No | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 304 | 42.8%130 W · 174 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 314 | 42.4%133 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 79c | 48.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1,585 | 78.5%1,244 W · 341 L | +39.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 64c | 48.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 72c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…4983backed No | 65c | 46.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 336 | 54.2%182 W · 154 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 65c | 43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 66c | 40.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe266…03b5backed Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 76c | 39.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…b9e8backed Yes | 33c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…b8aebacked No | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 264 | 58.7%155 W · 109 L | -20.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 29c | 35.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 66c | 35.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 64c | 33.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 45c | 32.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 70c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 73c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 72c | 28.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf2…e987backed No | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf55f…8e92backed No | 69c | 26.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 72c | 24.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…7219backed No | 69c | 23.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 78 | 76.9%60 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3f…5d84backed No | 79c | 19.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 802 | 75.7%607 W · 195 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 79c | 19.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4a…68afbacked No | 65c | 15.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 66c | 15.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked No | 73c | 15.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 67c | 14.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…a523backed No | 77c | 13.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 1,313 | 76.1%999 W · 314 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 102°F or higher on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 23?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on June 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.