Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23596caa9dcf12476935e6aa1003398994baf45609eb8ac002e2641d24a0da5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f11…53b0backed Yes | 78c | 3,406$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.21 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…4983backed No | 0c | 2,692$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 336 | 54.2%182 W · 154 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 12c | 1,993$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.36 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1c…7f60backed Yes | 43c | 1,938$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.99 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 71c | 1,598$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.42 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,529$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.96 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 20c | 1,300$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.81 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 10c | 1,292$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.01 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcffc…172bbacked Yes | 34c | 1,161$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 40cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 5c | 852.48$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.94 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed Yes | 1c | 780.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.53 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 22c | 773.87$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.02 | 718 | 23.4%168 W · 550 L | -26.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 71c | 713.53$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.81 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 63c | 665.64$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.75 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed Yes | 21c | 650$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.5 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 37c | 633.64$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.04 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 53c | 624.69$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.54 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8867…7683backed Yes | 27c | 589.97$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.58 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 57c | 527.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.62 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 29c | 515.18$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.94 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 5c | 458.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.49 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 28c | 423.96$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a3…fa45backed No | 76c | 392.85$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 61c | 354.62$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.3 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 70c | 348.82$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.24 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 36c | 347.56$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.9 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…ed80backed Yes | 44c | 342$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.44 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 56c | 337.07$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.46 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 66c | 330.22$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.08 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked Yes | 26c | 326.3$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.05 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 19c | 315.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.88 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 22c | 314.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.29 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 308.97$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.71 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff82…bd3cbacked No | 55c | 299.34$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.64 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 21c | 298.56$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.81 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed No | 57c | 297.46$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.55 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 7c | 293.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.36 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba95…ec86backed Yes | 34c | 291.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.76 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…b9bebacked Yes | 4c | 282.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.26 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +31.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 78c | 271.53$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.91 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 33c | 270.69$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 59c | 269.88$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.32 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 41c | 261.41$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.37 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 40c | 250.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.29 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 51c | 249.56$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.28 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 22c | 245.12$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.06 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 50c | 244.28$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.28 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…cdd8backed Yes | 8c | 240.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.35 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 56c | 240.26$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.41 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 14c | 240.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.45 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 41c | 219.71$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.63 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 25c | 215.19$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.91 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 59c | 208.56$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.23 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 56c | 208.34$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.67 | 361 | 50.4%182 W · 179 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa595…cdf1backed Yes | 39c | 194.02$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.02 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 73c | 188.68$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.04 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…f1ccbacked No | 59c | 178.47$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.93 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 13c | 178$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.96 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 33c | 176.52$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.33 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 22c | 174.64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.64 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 9c | 173.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.42 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 7c | 168.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.52 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…47a9backed Yes | 32c | 168.55$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 72c | 164.76$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.44 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…89d9backed No | 54c | 163.23$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.14 | 293 | 45.1%132 W · 161 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 44c | 160.72$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.26 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 29c | 154.6$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…44bcbacked No | 61c | 150.81$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.58 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb8…7809backed Yes | 36c | 150$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.5 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 30c | 149.7$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.7 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…5e72backed Yes | 31c | 148.48$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.73 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…4a6dbacked Yes | 39c | 147.78$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.78 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 14c | 145.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.03 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 67c | 145$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.4 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 42c | 142.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.4 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed No | 56c | 141.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.51 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 34c | 139.88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.02 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…0d5dbacked Yes | 30c | 138.91$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.18 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…9c50backed No | 59c | 135.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked No | 54c | 135$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…8159backed Yes | 25c | 132.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 587 | 32.9%193 W · 394 L | +34.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 73c | 130$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.86 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 31c | 125.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.44 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 66c | 125.6$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.51 | 348 | 53.4%186 W · 162 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…5cccbacked Yes | 32c | 120$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.8 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 29c | 119.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.55 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 43c | 118$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 58c | 117.12$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.48 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…efa0backed Yes | 46c | 117$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 49c | 111.66$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5b…5bbbbacked Yes | 38c | 109.21$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 14c | 109.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.68 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 54c | 109$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 23c | 108.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…d951backed Yes | 37c | 108.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.32 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 23c | 108.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.78 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 33c | 100.81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e3…c67fbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.