Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76811db451acf1dd8a2ee64ca684d7dfe4e5fdaed3163cdf7487d7e6ac1eb130
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 10c | 4,935$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.19 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 13c | 4,525$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.02 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 20c | 1,110$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.13 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 14c | 788.78$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.01 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116d…fbf1backed No | 69c | 706.34$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.31 | 178 | 59%105 W · 73 L | +20.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…87d3backed Yes | 25c | 652.03$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.6 | 303 | 32.3%98 W · 205 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 55c | 627.58$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.59 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 15c | 601.92$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.94 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…3eb6backed Yes | 50c | 585$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.32 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 12c | 550.06$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.53 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcd…82e4backed Yes | 4c | 545.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x103e…78b5backed Yes | 13c | 519.34$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 161 | 34.2%55 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 26c | 496.11$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.15 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 7c | 458.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 75c | 408.47$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.86 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked Yes | 16c | 393.61$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba95…ec86backed Yes | 21c | 383.02$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 10c | 374.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 74c | 356.84$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.03 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 12c | 347.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…cc81backed Yes | 17c | 310$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 64c | 303.3$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.93 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…e902backed No | 79c | 302.75$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.96 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 15c | 294.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 79c | 287.22$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 17c | 277.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8867…7683backed No | 75c | 264.51$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 18c | 261.09$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 718 | 23.4%168 W · 550 L | -26.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 40c | 259.17$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.91 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…cdd8backed No | 75c | 243.41$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e75…f89ebacked Yes | 18c | 236.61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…edd3backed Yes | 69c | 230$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.7 | 182 | 35.2%64 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed Yes | 40c | 224.95$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.15 | 1,401 | 27.3%383 W · 1,018 L | +69.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed Yes | 34c | 222.55$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 79c | 217.87$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…d072backed Yes | 44c | 217.55$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.17 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 41c | 209.05$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.27 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 44c | 200$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12a1…e483backed Yes | 20c | 199.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +172.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed No | 71c | 197.02$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.02 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0437…30f4backed No | 73c | 197.01$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…3667backed Yes | 8c | 196.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 55c | 194.65$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.36 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed Yes | 63c | 189.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.63 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 16c | 187.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x340c…f130backed Yes | 68c | 185.66$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.91 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 11c | 182.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 34c | 173.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.91 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…b9bebacked No | 33c | 169.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.9 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +31.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 46c | 162.85$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3311…d659backed Yes | 31c | 162.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 195 | 51.8%101 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 38c | 159.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 49c | 159.22$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.54 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…a5fbbacked Yes | 13c | 153.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x427a…4e18backed Yes | 15c | 151.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 13c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…e4f9backed Yes | 11c | 140.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 42c | 138.28$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 11c | 136.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed Yes | 28c | 125.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…4eb6backed Yes | 55c | 123.12$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.28 | 219 | 64.8%142 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Yes | 23c | 121.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 299 | 41.1%123 W · 176 L | +20.8wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 46c | 119.51$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.82 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f8…8e32backed Yes | 15c | 119$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…a081backed Yes | 25c | 118$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 55c | 115.7$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a09…6a68backed Yes | 18c | 113.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed Yes | 16c | 112.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed62…c51dbacked Yes | 15c | 112.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 346 | 28.9%100 W · 246 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…ef1ebacked No | 79c | 112.1$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked Yes | 15c | 110.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 32c | 108.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…fc28backed Yes | 17c | 108.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…b9e8backed Yes | 15c | 105.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…d803backed Yes | 22c | 101.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 401 | 32.9%132 W · 269 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…ca44backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 63c | 96.01$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 33c | 92.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Yes | 34c | 91.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 73c | 90.93$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 19c | 89.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 45c | 87.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…902dbacked Yes | 16c | 85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 41c | 84.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 29c | 83.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 66c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae5f…bc30backed No | 34c | 78.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 41c | 76.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 68c | 76.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 53c | 75.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…71adbacked Yes | 52c | 75.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked No | 46c | 67.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.03 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cd…eaecbacked Yes | 30c | 66.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…7479backed Yes | 39c | 65.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 532 | 58.6%312 W · 220 L | +45.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d41…24d7backed Yes | 48c | 62.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 24c | 58.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 53c | 56.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…0d5dbacked Yes | 22c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2cd…8d96backed No | 79c | 50.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea4…4a77backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 24?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.