Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x025ec5faa06f4da792d591a7f13663eed392cab114a5b13cec49025866e2dc6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 29c | 4,152$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.43 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 20c | 3,576$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.9 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 78c | 2,699$2,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.83 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…0d5dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,026$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 42c | 1,964$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.39 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…53b0backed No | 65c | 1,814$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.28 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 64c | 1,598$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.69 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…ed80backed No | 70c | 1,322$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.21 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed No | 65c | 1,054$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.18 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 52c | 794.08$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.34 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a6…9e63backed Yes | 34c | 738.41$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.64 | 332 | 32.8%109 W · 223 L | +18.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 30c | 530.6$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.98 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 17c | 516.27$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.83 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcd…82e4backed Yes | 12c | 509.95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Yes | 60c | 507.93$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.14 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4c…631cbacked No | 42c | 500$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.33 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 54cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc19a…412abacked Yes | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5a…1334backed Yes | 22c | 460.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 71c | 457.68$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.15 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…87d3backed Yes | 45c | 450.76$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.92 | 303 | 32.3%98 W · 205 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 33c | 445.35$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.22 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 79c | 402.34$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.29 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 31c | 385.57$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.45 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 70c | 374$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 41c | 373.24$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.49 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 7c | 372.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 37c | 371.75$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.67 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 35c | 368.38$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.12 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 46c | 355.74$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.92 | 718 | 23.4%168 W · 550 L | -26.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 67c | 349.56$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.55 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 61c | 344.54$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.12 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 75c | 327.44$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.3 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 27c | 325.4$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.05 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 22c | 322.32$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.43 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 20c | 313.28$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.83 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f1…710bbacked Yes | 70c | 303$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.31 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 559 | 54.7%306 W · 253 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 5c | 271.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…559fbacked Yes | 44c | 260$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.8 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked No | 9c | 253.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.82 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 361 | 50.4%182 W · 179 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 73c | 240.26$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 25c | 237.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.43 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 40c | 224.9$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.98 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 26c | 221.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.36 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…c304backed No | 5c | 217.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.67 | 160 | 38.8%62 W · 98 L | +18.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 30c | 203.33$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.81 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 22c | 202.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba95…ec86backed Yes | 50c | 201.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 62c | 180$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…b9e8backed Yes | 64c | 178.08$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.15 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 67c | 175.16$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.37 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 41c | 175.1$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.33 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 35c | 174.66$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.81 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 74c | 170.41$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 73c | 167.18$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.57 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 73c | 164$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 53c | 163.09$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.23 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 66c | 155.95$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.42 | 348 | 53.4%186 W · 162 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 36c | 155.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.05 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 61c | 153.91$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.32 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 36c | 153.45$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.52 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 59c | 152.77$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.68 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 23c | 151.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 60c | 148.26$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.41 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 63c | 145$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 36c | 137$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked Yes | 29c | 135.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed Yes | 37c | 130$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 34c | 125$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb139…29a1backed Yes | 79c | 124.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.69 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 55c | 124.02$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.81 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…b459backed No | 75c | 116.16$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 381 | 46.5%177 W · 204 L | +19.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…89d9backed No | 72c | 112.76$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 293 | 45.1%132 W · 161 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…0484backed Yes | 20c | 112.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 161 | 29.2%47 W · 114 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 76c | 110$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 76c | 108.71$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x340c…f130backed Yes | 72c | 107.82$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 36c | 107.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 40c | 107.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f8…8e32backed Yes | 46c | 106.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12a1…e483backed No | 48c | 105.92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +172.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 69c | 103.89$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa595…cdf1backed Yes | 75c | 101.73$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 25c | 101.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 24c | 101.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7076…b1e4backed No | 12c | 100.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…eb9fbacked No | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.69 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.26per pick | 61cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae79…5322backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7faa…c757backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…1f70backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…9c50backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…d951backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda56…4176backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 24?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.