Fifa International · resolved market
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b5b88d667cad5886bf380803c041f275d6c3308519eb5ca751295331e8567f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15ee…b4babacked No | 7c | 14,091$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked No | 0c | 13,888$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 7c | 3,064$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.19 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…dcdebacked No | 0c | 2,700$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 73 | 5.5%4 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 1cpaid | +212.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 5c | 2,119$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.44 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked No | 3c | 1,615$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 454 | 24.7%112 W · 342 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked No | 2c | 1,564$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 10c | 1,512$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.78 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 66c | 1,239$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.02 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 6c | 1,051$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…2746backed No | 2c | 1,044$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 197 | 39.6%78 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 5c | 1,036$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 7c | 1,012$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.61 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x687d…e28bbacked Yes | 54c | 990.45$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 7c | 884$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.42 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 4c | 748.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5514…10dfbacked No | 6c | 740$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 10c | 713.96$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.56 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…a7d1backed Yes | 61c | 672.15$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb492…12dabacked No | 39c | 630$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed No | 39c | 611.44$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.83 | 240 | 37.1%89 W · 151 L | -17.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53d9…a678backed No | 2c | 608.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed No | 2c | 602.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…a280backed Yes | 79c | 600$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.86 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 20c | 590$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.33 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 4c | 582.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…74fcbacked No | 37c | 569.38$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…d3dbbacked No | 9c | 549.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 389 | 24.4%95 W · 294 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1df…309dbacked Yes | 61c | 537.9$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.17 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…0be9backed Yes | 59c | 507.4$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked No | 4c | 505.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b5…4c72backed No | 10c | 502.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 4c | 487.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe590…a5d4backed No | 40c | 450.14$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.35 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…a9edbacked No | 4c | 430.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…5487backed No | 5c | 426.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x178b…bb3cbacked No | 4c | 426.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 12c | 406.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…be12backed No | 5c | 400.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x946e…1225backed No | 6c | 382.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 93 | 15.1%14 W · 79 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3030…86aebacked No | 39c | 356.83$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.32 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked No | 9c | 352.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 4c | 350.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…b153backed No | 4c | 335.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +77%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 16c | 332.35$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.73 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 17c | 327$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.55 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…feddbacked No | 4c | 326.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…dbbfbacked No | 62c | 314$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…e780backed Yes | 64c | 312.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 10c | 306.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…32b3backed No | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0019…6629backed No | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed No | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29e7…fbbfbacked No | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed No | 38c | 299.98$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.99 | 489 | 61.3%300 W · 189 L | +71.0wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2944…cf36backed No | 6c | 298$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 34c | 291.94$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.14 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0051…a955backed Yes | 63c | 289.1$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.28 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked No | 45c | 283.15$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.16 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4518…1cacbacked No | 33c | 244.07$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.58 | 177 | 57.1%101 W · 76 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8d…6724backed Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…b3fcbacked Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…6accbacked No | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 25c | 194.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8b…6682backed Yes | 56c | 177.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b11…38e8backed Yes | 56c | 169.3$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 40c | 160$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f95…7821backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2882…c53dbacked No | 7c | 156.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…3392backed Yes | 52c | 142.87$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.58 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 26c | 138$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 40c | 125.58$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 46c | 125$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked No | 39c | 120$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes | 60c | 119.6$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.19 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked No | 32c | 118.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yes | 61c | 110$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 281 | 48.4%136 W · 145 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 54c | 110$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…31f5backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf255…a2f1backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x937e…8022backed No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdb…8a82backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…f88ebacked No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe117…b4e7backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2434…05eabacked No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed Yes | 69c | 90$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked No | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 272 | 60.3%164 W · 108 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fd…4bf2backed Yes | 59c | 85.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…bc63backed No | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10f…56f4backed No | 35c | 83.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked No | 35c | 78.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 20c | 78.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 36c | 78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 28c | 75.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Yes | 64c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 67c | 71.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7438…b741backed No | 20c | 66.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed No | 39c | 56.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?this page
- Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?No won
- Will Trump attend 2 World Cup matches?No won
- Will Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.