Fifa International · resolved market
Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc4e1bb03320cc501eb5c1f0cf7815c871433fba1607d0792ca5fe4ee576c82a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Yes | 0c | 11,956$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbea…e2b0backed Yes | 6c | 7,663$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…dea6backed Yes | 7c | 4,353$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.91 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…c7e7backed Yes | 3c | 4,266$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Yes | 7c | 4,152$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…b4babacked Yes | 5c | 3,731$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…1fdabacked Yes | 7c | 3,483$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.13 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecf…9648backed Yes | 4c | 2,576$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fe…7003backed Yes | 3c | 2,568$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 7c | 2,179$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.06 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…7489backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 6c | 1,722$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.88 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 6c | 1,420$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.7 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…75d2backed Yes | 7c | 1,414$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.73 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd846…e24abacked Yes | 5c | 1,082$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c58…1fc0backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 3c | 975.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…6367backed Yes | 5c | 881.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…d2f2backed Yes | 6c | 860.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes | 6c | 849.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 489 | 61.3%300 W · 189 L | +71.0wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…6959backed Yes | 3c | 814.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked Yes | 7c | 764.37$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7088…e2b7backed Yes | 4c | 706.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked Yes | 7c | 700$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd87…6bf9backed Yes | 3c | 605.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5b…26fabacked Yes | 3c | 600$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 7c | 561.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…a9edbacked Yes | 4c | 537.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33ba…5b15backed Yes | 4c | 537$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.65per pick | 10cpaid | +546.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Yes | 6c | 509.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…d961backed Yes | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe34e…c0f4backed Yes | 3c | 499.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee9…7d37backed Yes | 4c | 493.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1446…ad36backed Yes | 4c | 486.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 6c | 452.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64dc…5680backed Yes | 4c | 406.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10e8…c8c9backed Yes | 5c | 406.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a54…6822backed Yes | 4c | 393.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b04…6477backed Yes | 4c | 320.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 3c | 319.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6686…5fa5backed Yes | 6c | 318.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 4c | 313.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29e7…fbbfbacked Yes | 3c | 307.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf792…be1ebacked Yes | 6c | 299.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3c…1e3fbacked Yes | 7c | 298.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…6bd0backed Yes | 7c | 267.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…511bbacked Yes | 5c | 253.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 226.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2af…28c3backed Yes | 6c | 224.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8c…c39abacked Yes | 7c | 210$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…8aefbacked Yes | 5c | 209.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf81…eec0backed Yes | 7c | 205.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…d74fbacked Yes | 7c | 163.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce2…de8bbacked Yes | 7c | 146.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4660…de72backed Yes | 9c | 145.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88dd…c02dbacked Yes | 8c | 126.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?this page
- Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?Yes won
- Will Trump attend 2 World Cup matches?No won
- Will Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.