Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9abb585b59a1ffc38089ca0abb1e0253ddd0ecf52c89f6f09f9be4c17e3fedaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 20c | 3,761$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.61 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 24c | 1,627$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.65 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 28c | 859.03$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.71 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x340c…f130backed Yes | 38c | 832.59$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.04 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 20c | 781.91$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.4 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 77c | 658.04$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.59 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 5c | 488.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Yes | 21c | 484.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x586e…07a6backed Yes | 5c | 431.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 4cpaid | +1,039.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 63c | 419.42$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.19 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked No | 76c | 401.32$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.51 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 73c | 390.26$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 67c | 385.47$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.25 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 76c | 383$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.61 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 41c | 357.55$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.81 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 9c | 327.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 71c | 324.28$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 5c | 321.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bc…8853backed Yes | 37c | 315$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.4 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 17c | 314.9$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 73c | 303.67$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.84 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 5c | 290$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 10c | 263.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed Yes | 21c | 246.07$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 542 | 34.9%189 W · 353 L | -30.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked No | 66c | 242.92$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.65 | 399 | 66.2%264 W · 135 L | +33.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 26c | 228$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.04 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 73c | 225$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…2c83backed Yes | 43c | 209.94$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 43c | 207.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.39 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…53cbbacked Yes | 29c | 205.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff9b…ac64backed Yes | 45c | 201.38$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 78c | 200.79$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…1f0abacked Yes | 38c | 198.71$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.51 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 73c | 191.13$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.82 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 75c | 180$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 75c | 176$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 77c | 169.81$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fb…ba62backed Yes | 26c | 168.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…2adebacked Yes | 35c | 165$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 259 | 47.1%122 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…a081backed Yes | 18c | 162$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…0484backed Yes | 34c | 145.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 161 | 29.2%47 W · 114 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed Yes | 32c | 140$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed Yes | 38c | 140$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 10c | 139.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 64c | 134.89$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.98 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 59c | 134.58$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e3…92cebacked Yes | 34c | 131.19$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f20…7163backed Yes | 26c | 129.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 353 | 25.5%90 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 31c | 126.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 69c | 122.47$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…af38backed No | 74c | 115.77$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 77c | 111.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed Yes | 22c | 108.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ad…69f5backed Yes | 40c | 107.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 267 | 44.2%118 W · 149 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 56c | 105.92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c33…38c9backed Yes | 28c | 100.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3382…a6e4backed Yes | 40c | 100.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2af3…c472backed Yes | 40c | 100.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d964backed Yes | 40c | 100.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x527e…384ebacked Yes | 40c | 100.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedec…d967backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 179 | 26.3%47 W · 132 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f5…8fd4backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c74…01c3backed Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb55…ff0fbacked Yes | 24c | 99.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 155 | 29%45 W · 110 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3c65backed No | 79c | 99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 444 | 65.3%290 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 30c | 97.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eef…3894backed No | 74c | 96.64$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f7…87e2backed Yes | 36c | 96.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 27c | 95.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 27c | 93.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 35c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 64c | 88$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 78c | 86.03$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 28c | 86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…f649backed Yes | 28c | 85.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 199 | 47.7%95 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d3…5122backed Yes | 35c | 84.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x515c…7587backed No | 73c | 84.25$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49e…7ddfbacked Yes | 32c | 83.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 33c | 81.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x376c…41acbacked Yes | 32c | 81.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc2…f79bbacked Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c0…befdbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f90…e17fbacked Yes | 32c | 75.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 64c | 72.25$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 74c | 72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4d…5b1dbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc64…2c70backed Yes | 29c | 70.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked No | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 173 | 24.3%42 W · 131 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b7…eeb5backed Yes | 17c | 69.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f49…cc93backed Yes | 38c | 69.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe379…6960backed No | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…c1f5backed Yes | 29c | 67.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 24c | 67.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 39°C on June 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.