Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e987e89d6d0c7c5e2cbbbec8488d0cb25957d09d3a6ea503811564b2c014d49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 2c | 4,710$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,636.52 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 39c | 2,019$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.87 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,860$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.11 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 22c | 1,613$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.37 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…f2febacked Yes | 26c | 1,609$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.55 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…0b82backed No | 74c | 1,444$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 31c | 1,237$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.25 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…cc81backed Yes | 27c | 1,128$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.4 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 43c | 1,090$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.64 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 70c | 1,067$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.07 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 4c | 1,061$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.49 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x340c…f130backed Yes | 36c | 1,010$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.71 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbce…507dbacked No | 67c | 946.68$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.21 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…5a0fbacked No | 76c | 928.9$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 35c | 875.3$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.14 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d64…e3fdbacked No | 55c | 872.56$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.56 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed Yes | 7c | 773.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.34 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 21c | 765.27$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.95 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 53c | 720.31$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.56 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c3…3899backed Yes | 1c | 684.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.99per pick | 1cpaid | +6,749.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x586e…07a6backed Yes | 1c | 683.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 4cpaid | +1,039.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 3c | 611.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.51 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 8c | 555.06$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.28 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 22c | 543.28$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.43 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 8c | 541.57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.44 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4343…8deabacked Yes | 56c | 540.33$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.33 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 17c | 534.92$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.73 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 4c | 504.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.18 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32af…a7c3backed Yes | 35c | 488.14$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.71 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7a…3e93backed Yes | 75c | 452.15$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.15 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 2c | 438.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.55 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 49c | 432.04$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.31 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 73c | 414.33$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.55 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…ddfbbacked Yes | 60c | 401.22$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.22 | 117 | 24.8%29 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8da…096fbacked No | 67c | 400$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.17 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…9464backed No | 74c | 381.73$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.88 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 78c | 381.67$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.12 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed No | 62c | 376.16$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.79 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 25c | 334.53$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.92 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0786…df1dbacked No | 75c | 311.99$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.23 | 230 | 60.9%140 W · 90 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1f…8c58backed Yes | 5c | 289.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.21 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 10c | 271.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.07 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c0…befdbacked Yes | 21c | 269.52$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.13 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeead…178dbacked Yes | 75c | 266.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.81 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 72cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked Yes | 19c | 264.38$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.47 | 399 | 66.2%264 W · 135 L | +33.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 4c | 256$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.67 | 400 | 25.5%102 W · 298 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 55c | 231.73$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.11 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 13c | 229.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.54 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…d48abacked Yes | 12c | 215.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.54 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 7c | 206.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.85 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 41c | 200$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.06 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x897e…7bbdbacked Yes | 16c | 200$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 28c | 199.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.79 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…b9e8backed Yes | 14c | 197.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.55 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…6754backed No | 75c | 179.97$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.48 | 354 | 65%230 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 79c | 167.62$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.32 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…63d0backed Yes | 24c | 167.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.89 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed No | 8c | 164.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 104 | 32.7%34 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 37c | 156.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa691…41f7backed Yes | 27c | 150$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed Yes | 9c | 150$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 13c | 148.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.52 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 18c | 127.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.57 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 72c | 126.72$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.87 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 24c | 124.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.36 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 45c | 120.45$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…9145backed Yes | 24c | 119.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.37 | 85 | 9.4%8 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 21c | 112.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…f649backed Yes | 22c | 108.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.13 | 199 | 47.7%95 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…d0f5backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 721 | 25.5%184 W · 537 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972a…aee7backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c74…01c3backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.2 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 25c | 98.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.27 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 76c | 97.66$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.27 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cef…d85bbacked No | 73c | 93.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.95 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 24c | 91.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 14c | 90.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.56 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 49c | 84.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc739…e55dbacked No | 56c | 83.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +518.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 77c | 81.74$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.84 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…9da2backed Yes | 25c | 80.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | +12.1wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…0cc2backed No | 57c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 229 | 45.4%104 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…bdb4backed Yes | 58c | 77.72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bee…e91ebacked Yes | 69c | 70.59$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…76bebacked No | 79c | 70$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032a…d22ebacked Yes | 57c | 69.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Yes | 29c | 67.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 92 | 72.8%67 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac36…b1e1backed Yes | 21c | 67.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…bbbebacked Yes | 31c | 67.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 57c | 66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3272…3845backed Yes | 30c | 62.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c02…ad12backed No | 79c | 62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 79c | 59.88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…3667backed Yes | 24c | 59.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.86 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ed…9d98backed Yes | 20c | 52.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 822 | 68.7%565 W · 257 L | +72.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 49c | 51.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…57c3backed Yes | 22c | 50.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -16.9wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 39°C on June 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.