Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f239cc42459b796bdc3cb1954c7f9a3134f5b6ca005c180358668373352afe0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 13c | 1,236$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.42 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 14c | 1,044$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.57 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x340c…f130backed Yes | 36c | 1,028$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.59 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked Yes | 7c | 951.24$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf9…1ffabacked Yes | 2c | 788.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 10c | 606.37$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 31c | 584.21$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.98 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 74c | 569.13$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.15 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 16c | 549.2$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.08 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 12c | 493.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…f2febacked Yes | 33c | 476.54$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.66 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 77c | 412.3$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.76 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x897e…7bbdbacked Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 4c | 385.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 5c | 378.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 3c | 365.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 70c | 364.63$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.44 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…fbe4backed Yes | 6c | 347.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…c144backed Yes | 4c | 330.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed No | 54c | 311.75$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 517 | 62.3%322 W · 195 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 25c | 305.01$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.57 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 78c | 301.89$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 13c | 280.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 10c | 230$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1291…275fbacked Yes | 5c | 227.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 18c | 227.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445f…229fbacked No | 46c | 205.15$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.81 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 33c | 200$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.48 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 70c | 197.33$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…b9e8backed Yes | 17c | 196.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 71c | 193$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.93 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 10c | 190.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x586e…07a6backed Yes | 5c | 189.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 4cpaid | +1,039.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…aab7backed Yes | 64c | 171.11$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 54c | 170.54$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.27 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15c0…befdbacked Yes | 27c | 168.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 39c | 157.69$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.26 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5484…84e8backed No | 64c | 155.9$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…42e0backed No | 75c | 154.2$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…ddfbbacked Yes | 28c | 151.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 117 | 24.8%29 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32af…a7c3backed Yes | 28c | 151$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa691…41f7backed Yes | 31c | 149.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 19c | 149.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 60c | 148.72$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.71 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcca2…fa31backed Yes | 22c | 148.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f7…87e2backed Yes | 40c | 143.42$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 12c | 139.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 65c | 139.24$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.66 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…db4ebacked No | 77c | 134.91$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 76c | 134.88$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413b…86c0backed Yes | 11c | 130$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 27c | 119.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 26c | 119.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 69c | 110.75$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…c1f5backed Yes | 18c | 109.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7da3…742ebacked Yes | 59c | 107.65$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 400 | 25.5%102 W · 298 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579d…247cbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f5…8fd4backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c74…01c3backed Yes | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedec…d967backed Yes | 50c | 99.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 179 | 26.3%47 W · 132 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…2cf0backed No | 76c | 98.72$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 253 | 58.9%149 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 51c | 95.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb432…7688backed Yes | 63c | 92.36$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7247…ecb6backed Yes | 15c | 92.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c70…34c4backed No | 45c | 91.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 168 | 47.6%80 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…0484backed Yes | 16c | 91.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 161 | 29.2%47 W · 114 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 34c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecc…c745backed No | 38c | 85.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.63 | 179 | 47.5%85 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 19c | 85.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 13c | 85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 29c | 83.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 74c | 82.56$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…d0f5backed Yes | 28c | 81.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 721 | 25.5%184 W · 537 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x376c…41acbacked Yes | 24c | 81.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…7feebacked Yes | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 76c | 72.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked Yes | 14c | 70.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 64c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 71c | 67.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 29c | 64.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc55…838fbacked No | 66c | 60.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 35c | 57.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…f649backed Yes | 33c | 56.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 199 | 47.7%95 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 53c | 56.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e7…4450backed Yes | 55c | 54.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -65%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 67c | 53.87$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2797…9bc0backed No | 48c | 53.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 181 | 42.5%77 W · 104 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked Yes | 29c | 53.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3272…3845backed Yes | 38c | 51.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16fb…ba62backed Yes | 57c | 51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x220f…1a7cbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…0b82backed No | 65c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…25cabacked Yes | 28c | 49.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19ca…59eebacked Yes | 48c | 48.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -11.6wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 26c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 64c | 43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 76c | 42.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 39°C on June 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.