Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37cb76f1e9f5a75484d112c7a1c20c157064850f53f281adcf2f4b5ac8dae37b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 28c | 2,499$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.82 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 6c | 1,837$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.85 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 31c | 829.01$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.42 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 3c | 792.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 3c | 749.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb29…2321backed Yes | 3c | 587.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 3c | 551$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 69c | 508$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.92 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92e3…ab49backed Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 12c | 499.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 69c | 433.09$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.2 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 32c | 407.82$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.39 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…daccbacked No | 80c | 391.04$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 71c | 382.52$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.23 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…53cbbacked Yes | 15c | 370.46$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 19c | 355.14$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.1 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 68c | 308$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…ed80backed No | 70c | 307.34$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.2 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 7c | 307.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 71c | 303.87$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.38 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 69c | 291.13$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.36 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 20c | 287.42$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 361 | 50.4%182 W · 179 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 26c | 242.51$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 26c | 241.49$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.87 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 67c | 206.66$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1c…25f0backed Yes | 10c | 199.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 70c | 197.45$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…9c82backed Yes | 16c | 192.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 10c | 189.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…a081backed Yes | 17c | 180$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49e…7ddfbacked Yes | 31c | 174.03$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 27c | 150.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked No | 74c | 135.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 28c | 130.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed Yes | 29c | 128.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 69c | 127.58$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x340c…f130backed Yes | 29c | 126.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f20…7163backed Yes | 35c | 125.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 353 | 25.5%90 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 26c | 124.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…0484backed Yes | 26c | 113.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 161 | 29.2%47 W · 114 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 72c | 112.47$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 27c | 105.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf822…7718backed Yes | 20c | 101.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c33…38c9backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedec…d967backed Yes | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 179 | 26.3%47 W · 132 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc8…7b89backed No | 72c | 95.73$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 24c | 95.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48b7…f103backed No | 71c | 92.54$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 76c | 92.12$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 70c | 87.16$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 16c | 86.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…66b4backed No | 71c | 85.5$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc2…f79bbacked Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 24c | 81.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 71c | 81.34$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…d48abacked Yes | 13c | 76.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…3ca8backed No | 69c | 71.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 29c | 71.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked No | 67c | 69.26$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94ce…9909backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -79%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…7f2bbacked Yes | 29c | 68.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 479 | 35.3%169 W · 310 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…c1f5backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7f…8282backed No | 72c | 65.39$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 71c | 63.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…f649backed Yes | 30c | 61.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 199 | 47.7%95 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 74c | 59.81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 1,088 | 55.5%604 W · 484 L | -27.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 17c | 58.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 29c | 55.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…2adebacked Yes | 30c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 259 | 47.1%122 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 28c | 52.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…500dbacked Yes | 29c | 52.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 69c | 51.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…4c65backed No | 78c | 50.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 278 | 52.9%147 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5191…06f2backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8540…47d4backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d99…62a8backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc64…2c70backed Yes | 31c | 49.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Yes | 32c | 48.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 348 | 53.4%186 W · 162 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96fe…6a5ebacked Yes | 32c | 46.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 54cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 68c | 45.84$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33d…3ef2backed No | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 456 | 75.2%343 W · 113 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15c0…befdbacked Yes | 29c | 44.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 30c | 42.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 68c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f4…d093backed Yes | 24c | 41.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 150 | 32%48 W · 102 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f21…c693backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | +15.5wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…2aafbacked Yes | 28c | 39.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 106 | 65.1%69 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d2…7f3ebacked Yes | 29c | 37.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 27c | 37.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…88dabacked No | 70c | 37.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 39°C on June 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.