TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,919
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,072

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,919 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c18,560$8,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,885.762,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Under45c10,864$4,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,910.21747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid+36.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over14c6,663$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,758.7618923.8%45 W · 144 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd10c…0645backed Over76c6,564$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,563.791346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+67.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under45c5,975$2,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,693.313441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under24c4,580$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.96387.9%3 W · 35 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick21cpaid-56.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over46c3,501$1,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.93923.1%9 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over56c2,504$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.891,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over14c1,908$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,640.592250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over45c1,658$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9043663.9%23 W · 13 L+6.3wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+43.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over54c1,382$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.9934239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under51c1,316$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67541144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Over51c1,176$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.47966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2402969%20 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Over76c996.18$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.98875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Over50c991.2$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.23754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b5b…e39ebacked Over39c849.99$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+72.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under66c757.91$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003863.2%24 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc283…b876backed Over14c714.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.292100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+429.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under44c650$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed Under10c603.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.33837.5%3 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick11cpaid+237.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.044339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over65c538.8$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.6415450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.3215459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Over52c499.99$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2423100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x522d…3913backed Over69c487.99$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under45c448.53$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.2439740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x218d…83f8backed Over53c421.3$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.011145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under44c420$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.82857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over49c410$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.111348.7%55 W · 58 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Under26c407$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.824623.9%11 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6afc…f7ddbacked Under55c366.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5192…df62backed Under11c362.26$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.95520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under48c352.72$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.31616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick55cpaid-75.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over14c350$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3018242.7%35 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over61c316.48$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.582065%13 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over31c316.13$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.1313142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over11c300$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2675721.1%12 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick23cpaid+64.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over16c297.58$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.49627.1%26 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over14c285.71$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.7110330.1%31 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under50c274.89$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.5527453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb36c…8715backed Over29c270.09$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.47933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Over49c199.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1023243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over58c199.05$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2914442.4%61 W · 83 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over14c178.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.578523.5%20 W · 65 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.442240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Over41c170.73$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.731618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-45.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Over70c168.43$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.533056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over31c161.61$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.618744.8%39 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x57c3…44b8backed Over64c156.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.84887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick66cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6b…b79ebacked Over78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+89.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4829…97ebbacked Over78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+44.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Under80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001250%6 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Over56c114.34$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.525058%29 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Over52c111.54$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.546100%6 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under47c107.68$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.811360.2%68 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over60c106.92$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8721748.8%106 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over49c105.22$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.663345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.173026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf9…c873backed Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7663…c9aabacked Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.041070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+40.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xafcf…72f6backed Under56c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-49%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.337065.7%46 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6796…3578backed Over64c77.68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.68366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf537…8d55backed Over55c70$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+38.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under38c68.83$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4591043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over77c63.63$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.632138.1%8 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-46.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under24c58.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0814845.3%67 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over50c58$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296347.6%30 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.697950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under20c56.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.221566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.561471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa251…505fbacked Under49c52.06$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Under72c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a95…2b65backed Under45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Over57c47.86$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.586063.3%38 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.228143.2%35 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over51c37.25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.254551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over55c34.04$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.293237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked Under57c33.24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.936471.9%46 W · 18 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Over59c31.46$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.941866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.35552.7%29 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc93c…caeebacked Over76c27.8$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x810a…2b8ebacked Under52c25.07$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Under50c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.42951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x95e4…5134backed Under73c24.43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.861741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bca…24aebacked Over51c21.57$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.571258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89e9…c4a3backed Under74c20.03$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.82580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Over70c18.28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.421346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9132…6607backed Over72c16.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.671275%9 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under61c16.49$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0713157.3%75 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd92a…31ebbacked Under77c15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.61361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick71cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.