Serie A · resolved market
SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5a9e06e3210ddbe43bd395dbde35f2f4d344a97c77669ba643835859c680368
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 18,560$8,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,885.76 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Under | 45c | 10,864$4,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,910.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 14c | 6,663$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,758.76 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Over | 76c | 6,564$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.79 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 45c | 5,975$2,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,693.31 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 24c | 4,580$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.96 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 46c | 3,501$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.9 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 2,504$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.89 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 14c | 1,908$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.59 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 45c | 1,658$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 54c | 1,382$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.99 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 51c | 1,316$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Over | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Over | 76c | 996.18$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Over | 50c | 991.2$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.2 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5b…e39ebacked Over | 39c | 849.99$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 66c | 757.91$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +429.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 44c | 650$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 10c | 603.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 11cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 65c | 538.8$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.64 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Over | 52c | 499.99$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x522d…3913backed Over | 69c | 487.99$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 45c | 448.53$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.24 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218d…83f8backed Over | 53c | 421.3$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.01 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 44c | 420$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 49c | 410$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Under | 26c | 407$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.82 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6afc…f7ddbacked Under | 55c | 366.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed Under | 11c | 362.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 48c | 352.72$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 14c | 350$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 61c | 316.48$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 31c | 316.13$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.13 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 11c | 300$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 16c | 297.58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.4 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.71 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 274.89$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.55 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed Over | 29c | 270.09$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.47 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Over | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 58c | 199.05$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.29 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.57 | 85 | 23.5%20 W · 65 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Over | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 70c | 168.43$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 31c | 161.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.61 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Over | 64c | 156.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6b…b79ebacked Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 56c | 114.34$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.52 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Over | 52c | 111.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 47c | 107.68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 60c | 106.92$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.87 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 49c | 105.22$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…c873backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7663…c9aabacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafcf…72f6backed Under | 56c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…3578backed Over | 64c | 77.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf537…8d55backed Over | 55c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 38c | 68.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 77c | 63.63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 24c | 58.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under | 20c | 56.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa251…505fbacked Under | 49c | 52.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Under | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a95…2b65backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Over | 57c | 47.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 51c | 37.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 55c | 34.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Under | 57c | 33.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Over | 59c | 31.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…caeebacked Over | 76c | 27.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810a…2b8ebacked Under | 52c | 25.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Under | 50c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed Under | 73c | 24.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bca…24aebacked Over | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89e9…c4a3backed Under | 74c | 20.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…72cebacked Over | 70c | 18.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Over | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 61c | 16.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked Under | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5this page
- SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5Over won
- SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5Over won
- SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)SSC Napoli won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-2.5)SSC Napoli won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.