Serie A · resolved market
SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6eef8822a01461bd5036b357bd951071f444f84d3b3160e26270329bf0d0dc79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes | 49c | 10,300$5,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,249.55 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ce…2edfbacked No | 52c | 3,136$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed No | 52c | 2,221$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.68 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 14c | 2,214$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.8 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 32c | 1,541$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.83 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 51c | 1,428$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.04 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 36c | 766.57$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.73 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 50c | 700$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.8 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 52c | 610.27$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.91 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 14c | 550.53$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.98 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684c…93dfbacked Yes | 49c | 525$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 51c | 379.71$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.65 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79cf…91abbacked No | 19c | 362.84$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 51c | 361$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.26 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 51c | 300.42$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.01 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed No | 20c | 238.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc93…b91dbacked No | 53c | 207.55$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…995ebacked No | 20c | 180$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98c1…3d1ebacked No | 52c | 173.08$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 50c | 126.56$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.83 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7f…0492backed No | 21c | 125.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 48c | 112.24$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.36 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 53c | 109.94$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.27 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c3…443ebacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b33…044ebacked Yes | 48c | 102.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Yes | 48c | 93.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 51c | 93.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…90a8backed Yes | 49c | 84.17$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc4…a77fbacked Yes | 47c | 67.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 51c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 51c | 47.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde51…f222backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…dac8backed No | 44c | 40.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed No | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 52c | 35.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…0306backed No | 52c | 32.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7e…f568backed No | 52c | 30.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed No | 52c | 25.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed No | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1c…27acbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5Over won
- SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5Over won
- SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5Over won
- SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)SSC Napoli won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-2.5)SSC Napoli won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.