College Football · resolved market
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Washington
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75ef29e9e86689c93c7c4c8bf2d7bf60efc4749a76b66feb846aab0e1767a5ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washingtonof Purdue Boilermakers, Washington
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Purdue Boilermakers | 14c | 35,201$4,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,928.19 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Purdue Boilermakers | 12c | 20,354$2,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,438.9 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Purdue Boilermakers | 14c | 20,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Purdue Boilermakers | 6c | 6,517$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.85 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Purdue Boilermakers | 13c | 3,474$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.56 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Purdue Boilermakers | 13c | 3,268$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.83 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Purdue Boilermakers | 12c | 1,891$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.96 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Purdue Boilermakers | 14c | 1,820$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.61 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Purdue Boilermakers | 5c | 1,410$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.42 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 13c | 1,200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.94 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Purdue Boilermakers | 14c | 1,192$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.85 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Purdue Boilermakers | 5c | 1,128$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.72 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 13c | 824.06$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.12 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Purdue Boilermakers | 13c | 421.17$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 13c | 382$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…00fbbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 15c | 330.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Purdue Boilermakers | 13c | 311.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Purdue Boilermakers | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Purdue Boilermakers | 12c | 269$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…6c59backed Purdue Boilermakers | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce91…9c9fbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 9c | 223.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Purdue Boilermakers | 15c | 220$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65d9…9418backed Purdue Boilermakers | 10c | 214.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Purdue Boilermakers | 13c | 202$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…dd8bbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 7c | 160$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…b027backed Purdue Boilermakers | 15c | 153.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 15c | 120.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Purdue Boilermakers | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Purdue Boilermakers | 13c | 99.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Washingtonthis page
- O/U 53.5Over won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Washington: O/U 50.5Over won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Washington: O/U 51.5Over won
- Spread: Washington (-14.5)Washington won
- Spread: Washington (-16.5)Washington won
- Spread: Washington (-17.5)Washington won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.