Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will U.S. GDP growth be between 0% and -1% in Q1 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ea580218093cbe4cd95c808920c4d5749683253d5ce452e8df7dbaf1faac224
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 15c | 4,670$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,974.28 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ac…d62cbacked Yes | 13c | 4,312$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,746.95 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked Yes | 25c | 4,000$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,992.92 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.19per pick | 29cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…cf93backed Yes | 17c | 2,251$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…ebdfbacked Yes | 15c | 2,201$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.16 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…5d71backed Yes | 12c | 1,909$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.35 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2684…d3d6backed Yes | 12c | 1,600$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked Yes | 21c | 1,593$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.67 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28de…a1fdbacked Yes | 15c | 1,500$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 14c | 1,485$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.37 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 15c | 1,236$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.66 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…567bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,132$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 10cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Yes | 13c | 1,099$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d9…4c5ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac1…154bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…ccbabacked Yes | 15c | 972.47$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 11c | 908$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 11c | 908$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2928…cadabacked Yes | 20c | 851.34$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a1…af66backed Yes | 15c | 850$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +574.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 18c | 760.33$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.23 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…0221backed Yes | 71c | 725.57$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +285.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked No | 77c | 658.24$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.58 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -6.5wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x07d5…709bbacked Yes | 28c | 648.77$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6906…9cbdbacked Yes | 22c | 570$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a5…47ecbacked Yes | 19c | 563.47$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed Yes | 62c | 518.52$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.9 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 26c | 479$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…d8afbacked Yes | 13c | 470$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +161.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d0…de55backed Yes | 20c | 469$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…e5ecbacked Yes | 28c | 403.33$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +151.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d0…4843backed Yes | 12c | 400.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.06 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 77c | 380.01$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.61 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 13c | 347.77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.79 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 11c | 304$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.16 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 13c | 301.11$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.65 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb084…92dcbacked Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +56%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…5fe3backed Yes | 13c | 300$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 28cpaid | +136.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…cd8dbacked Yes | 32c | 293.09$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 18c | 290$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.15 | 233 | 30.5%71 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…2dccbacked Yes | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…d06fbacked Yes | 16c | 257.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.12 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb381…98f8backed Yes | 14c | 227$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…cddabacked Yes | 50c | 217.65$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ab…9c67backed Yes | 10c | 200.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.44 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x296b…2cf2backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…62b4backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ce…da52backed Yes | 26c | 191.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 14c | 184.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 175 | 28%49 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 16c | 179$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.02 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e8…4c01backed Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +25%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…02ffbacked Yes | 17c | 145.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e60…19d9backed Yes | 25c | 144.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…6d33backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa291…d88dbacked Yes | 20c | 129.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.49 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e0…8d71backed Yes | 19c | 127$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0a…5e93backed No | 80c | 125.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf56…414bbacked Yes | 16c | 124.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…a43dbacked Yes | 20c | 117$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 19c | 112$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked Yes | 16c | 103$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.55 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5e…9d53backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 17c | 99.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.93 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0262…a9d2backed Yes | 16c | 99.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 12c | 96.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.63 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…eb17backed Yes | 17c | 85.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +472.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 19c | 82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…e40dbacked Yes | 17c | 80$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed No | 79c | 75.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…4238backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51de…c4d1backed No | 36c | 70.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24d…0a3ebacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +240.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b63…4b44backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 299 | 13.7%41 W · 258 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddf…3410backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 74c | 35.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…6ed0backed No | 77c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db6…e32fbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will U.S. GDP growth be between 0% and -1% in Q1 2025?this page
- Will U.S. GDP growth be between -1% and -2% in Q1 2025?No won
- Will U.S. GDP growth be between 1% and 0% in Q1 2025?No won
- Will U.S. GDP growth be between 2% and 1% in Q1 2025?No won
- Will U.S. GDP growth be greater than 2% in Q1 2025?No won
- Will U.S. GDP growth be less than -2% in Q1 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.