College Football · resolved market
Virginia Tech vs. Florida State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x886a321fe050290b3ade6aac7d40baaa08bf45cd5b99613b7c34abf4777289b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida Stateof Virginia Tech, Florida State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Virginia Tech | 18c | 20,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Virginia Tech | 17c | 1,997$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.93 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Virginia Tech | 16c | 1,834$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.69 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Virginia Tech | 18c | 1,800$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.99 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Virginia Tech | 20c | 1,768$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.05 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Virginia Tech | 17c | 1,644$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.48 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Virginia Tech | 14c | 1,568$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.48 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Virginia Tech | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Virginia Tech | 16c | 1,300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.53 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Virginia Tech | 16c | 1,200$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.07 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Virginia Tech | 17c | 1,147$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Virginia Tech | 16c | 999.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Virginia Tech | 15c | 773.87$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.08 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed Virginia Tech | 7c | 365.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed Virginia Tech | 19c | 350$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.87 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Virginia Tech | 17c | 305.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Virginia Tech | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Virginia Tech | 17c | 285.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Virginia Tech | 16c | 280.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Florida State | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Virginia Tech | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…6c59backed Virginia Tech | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Virginia Tech | 17c | 119.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Virginia Tech | 34c | 115.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…9b2bbacked Virginia Tech | 18c | 105.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Virginia Tech | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Virginia Tech | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Virginia Tech | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Virginia Tech | 22c | 95.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x302d…4adfbacked Virginia Tech | 18c | 71.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…1956backed Virginia Tech | 19c | 54.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Virginia Tech vs. Florida Statethis page
- O/U 54.5Under won
- Spread: Florida State (-13.5)Florida State won
- Spread: Florida State (-14.5)Florida State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.