TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Stanford vs. North Carolina

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
North Carolinaof Stanford, North Carolina
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,967
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$148,096

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,967 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Stanford17c85,000$14,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,55027246%125 W · 147 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked North Carolina72c6,028$4,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,687.822,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Stanford26c4,998$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.3952641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Stanford17c4,571$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.6540541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed North Carolina74c4,000$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0404654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Stanford28c3,500$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9806731.3%21 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Stanford17c2,845$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.9264841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed North Carolina74c2,500$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6505152.9%27 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Stanford31c2,280$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.0662843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked North Carolina72c2,185$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.7949443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8768…dd9bbacked North Carolina73c2,181$1,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.792867.9%19 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked North Carolina66c2,100$1,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.8548546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Stanford26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5207448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Stanford32c1,810$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.0486243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe81…5fe9backed North Carolina68c1,800$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5762437.5%9 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-43%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed North Carolina72c1,752$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.5485947.7%410 W · 449 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked North Carolina69c1,650$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.4217443.7%76 W · 98 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed North Carolina74c1,599$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.8827648.9%135 W · 141 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Stanford19c1,368$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.5721538.6%83 W · 132 L-0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked North Carolina73c1,348$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.9814752.4%77 W · 70 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Stanford27c1,176$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.581,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Stanford28c1,111$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.081435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+46.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked North Carolina72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28075651.9%392 W · 364 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd87…dd8bbacked Stanford2c1,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154411.4%5 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked North Carolina72c999.52$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.950358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Stanford27c889.68$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.934529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x74bc…98c9backed Stanford33c815.16$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.0610555.2%58 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x559f…cd83backed Stanford28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e2…eb4abacked North Carolina73c714$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.78666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Stanford26c700$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18225629.3%75 W · 181 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed North Carolina73c688$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.7634250.3%172 W · 170 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked North Carolina73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.936650%33 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf327…34dbbacked North Carolina73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.932951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Stanford12c557$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6957144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Stanford28c535.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011221.4%24 W · 88 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58e1…f652backed North Carolina78c384.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.621369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed North Carolina73c379$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.334959.2%29 W · 20 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+36.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b62…6137backed Stanford28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcbf5…6638backed Stanford28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003930.8%12 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Stanford26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5216945.6%77 W · 92 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dd5…1306backed Stanford26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524531.1%14 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Stanford26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5228032.9%92 W · 188 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2862…b2ddbacked Stanford28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507445.9%34 W · 40 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+27.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa5a4…adcdbacked Stanford8c166.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick23cpaid+83.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked North Carolina66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5130949.5%153 W · 156 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Stanford27c150$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.54531.1%14 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Stanford17c147.93$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.422142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe52…32c5backed Stanford28c138.89$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.891729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+33.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed North Carolina73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9910664.2%68 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked North Carolina73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9916044.4%71 W · 89 L-15.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Stanford27c120.96$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6654243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc19e…7e4abacked Stanford28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+77.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed North Carolina72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2812755.9%71 W · 56 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff7c…3e9fbacked Stanford28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287628.9%22 W · 54 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2816…0730backed Stanford28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286031.7%19 W · 41 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a2…0acbbacked Stanford28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286924.6%17 W · 52 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-34.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x23e5…d41fbacked Stanford35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353119.4%6 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick19cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90f6…d183backed North Carolina73c99.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+139.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed North Carolina80c98$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.638450.5%194 W · 190 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Stanford27c97.74$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7155350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Stanford27c85$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.956847.1%32 W · 36 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9334…32dabacked North Carolina73c82.19$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1918868.1%128 W · 60 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick69cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Stanford28c77$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5668440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Stanford26c77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0224436.9%90 W · 154 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked North Carolina73c73.59$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.871464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+38.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x15e3…b3e8backed Stanford28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked North Carolina73c70$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.93158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+21.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f81…078fbacked North Carolina80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.56100%6 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7bf…b567backed Stanford34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204540%18 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe172…274ebacked Stanford28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x079a…8fbabacked North Carolina67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebd3…d704backed North Carolina73c48.95$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.22366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad67…7c51backed Stanford28c48.04$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Stanford28c46.43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1329351.9%152 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8639…fb86backed Stanford28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.27441.9%31 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa83…537bbacked North Carolina73c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.84555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88e2…1956backed Stanford28c36.18$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1310030%30 W · 70 L-10.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked North Carolina73c28.77$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.772646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0122…44e1backed North Carolina73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcda3…e313backed North Carolina73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.45048%24 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed North Carolina70c17.16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1816044.4%71 W · 89 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ae…1e97backed North Carolina74c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.95875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18de…0b64backed North Carolina73c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.051662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa48…1369backed North Carolina73c14.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.981747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.