Us Politics · resolved market
Birthright citizenship ban blocked in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61bd58ea8e8462c8c7b0b66906dc88b71b8b4a296be07ec9376f7c65ab5c50a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked No | 16c | 7,720$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.06 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a90…265dbacked No | 21c | 4,000$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked No | 39c | 3,831$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fea…d383backed No | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed Yes | 73c | 2,510$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.99 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…8dfebacked No | 9c | 2,364$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.61 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 68c | 2,041$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.89 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 69c | 2,008$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.12 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 4c | 1,964$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.64 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 12c | 1,932$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.76 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 65c | 1,676$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.13 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 66c | 1,618$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.06 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked No | 24c | 1,577$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.1 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…6d52backed No | 11c | 1,546$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.62 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 18c | 1,165$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.05 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9f…c17cbacked No | 9c | 1,098$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.19 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…3b25backed No | 9c | 1,016$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe3…73c4backed No | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…be78backed No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 18c | 800$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.6 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed No | 2c | 687.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed No | 28c | 649$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.74 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9d…446dbacked No | 10c | 625.79$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.19 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…3e65backed No | 18c | 595.81$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.84 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b2…4e0cbacked No | 33c | 515.06$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.97 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc2…0b59backed Yes | 75c | 508$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.97 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked No | 6c | 505.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…4b43backed No | 18c | 500.12$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1601backed No | 9c | 500$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…01d0backed No | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 29c | 494.8$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.49 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…41a7backed Yes | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…d61cbacked Yes | 65c | 465.11$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.11 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed No | 17c | 439.17$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd889…cf51backed No | 8c | 428$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0355…4c8cbacked No | 12c | 418.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96eb…5d99backed Yes | 67c | 400$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes | 71c | 352.26$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.16 | 148 | 43.2%64 W · 84 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 12c | 350$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 26c | 335.92$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.44 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x741b…b1d3backed No | 12c | 317.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 71c | 302.13$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Yes | 70c | 300$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.2 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…507bbacked No | 14c | 280.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x247d…7d27backed No | 38c | 261.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…0fe0backed No | 39c | 256.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d8…9a77backed Yes | 78c | 230.26$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c47…9b02backed No | 35c | 229.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7090…0414backed Yes | 61c | 227.66$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +136%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 32c | 210.68$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.61 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5a…917ebacked No | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked No | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 22c | 183.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 116 | 12.9%15 W · 101 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2880…fa70backed No | 34c | 178.68$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…8a53backed No | 12c | 172.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfd…b676backed No | 33c | 166.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +130.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4427…498dbacked Yes | 66c | 165.04$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed No | 9c | 157.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…d06fbacked Yes | 64c | 155.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 35c | 155$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed No | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 159 | 24.5%39 W · 120 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 28c | 149$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 170 | 21.2%36 W · 134 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…51babacked No | 18c | 143$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6879…8adfbacked No | 38c | 131.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a1…0770backed No | 14c | 109.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb3…34c1backed No | 14c | 105$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…cecfbacked No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…06a7backed No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e55…41fcbacked No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f8…0e46backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…cbf7backed Yes | 63c | 94$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 15c | 90$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 303 | 19.1%58 W · 245 L | -20.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…b248backed No | 29c | 89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7e…36bcbacked No | 34c | 87.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…f02cbacked Yes | 73c | 84.18$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb97d…b68cbacked No | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0665…4c8fbacked Yes | 80c | 75.12$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8460…63e3backed No | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…c417backed No | 25c | 69.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0ef5backed Yes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f31…97c7backed No | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaba0…29fcbacked Yes | 68c | 59.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed Yes | 78c | 54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc195…5f72backed No | 38c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…e07bbacked Yes | 64c | 47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3914…51d7backed Yes | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe03d…189abacked Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 58cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6099…c517backed Yes | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 67c | 37.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb220…2a5dbacked Yes | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f09…6ac1backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…1b48backed Yes | 71c | 28.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…5d96backed Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked Yes | 80c | 17.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b7…5010backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.