NFL · resolved market

Will Nick Emmanowori be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2290bf0c81eea6f2cd25059210a232e83c9456fce1c8ab814d54de4f97228e1

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $72,186
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $63,705

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,186 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xab78…fac0backed Yes	3c	12,411$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.58	42	2.4%1 W · 41 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	8cpaid	-95.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes	5c	7,423$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.56	39	23.1%9 W · 30 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	5,372$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.38	567	9.9%56 W · 511 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed Yes	6c	3,467$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.52	50	24%12 W · 38 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x724d…8deabacked Yes	4c	3,297$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.03	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-78.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	4c	2,789$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.11	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes	1c	2,410$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.56	61	1.6%1 W · 60 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-95.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7134…8febbacked Yes	5c	2,215$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.48	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21d8…ad91backed Yes	15c	2,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	60	45%27 W · 33 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95bc…9f00backed Yes	3c	999.97$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	129	45%58 W · 71 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf503…39e2backed Yes	5c	930.93$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.32	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+2.1wins	+0.12per pick	23cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2ae…58d0backed Yes	2c	885.14$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.85	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x933e…0c93backed Yes	6c	824.45$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.7	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a2…0acbbacked Yes	4c	783.25$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.86	284	33.1%94 W · 190 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaef5…a454backed Yes	22c	630.34$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.68	66	25.8%17 W · 49 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	3c	603.52$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.96	79	10.1%8 W · 71 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	4c	520.49$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.18	230	24.3%56 W · 174 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa45c…1d10backed Yes	3c	500$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.94	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Yes	13c	431.13$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.62	37	27%10 W · 27 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes	7c	427.03$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.91	294	39.5%116 W · 178 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	5c	389.43$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.9	144	4.9%7 W · 137 L	-10.8wins	-0.07per pick	12cpaid	-71.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x170f…a5a7backed Yes	8c	380.51$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.28	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b81…9fafbacked Yes	6c	351.31$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Yes	7c	330.07$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.17	97	44.3%43 W · 54 L	+5.8wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39a5…87f2backed Yes	6c	260.94$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb9a7…f50fbacked Yes	6c	248$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.53	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	+2.3wins	+0.09per pick	36cpaid	-4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbae0…5cd6backed Yes	34c	214.61$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.77	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Nick Emmanowori be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event