NFL · resolved market
Will Carson Schwesinger be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e9b53aaae257f7401b88711ad5cce68649abd5d22c1b8cadad149bf69ba4360
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $306,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $302,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54e7…1842backed No | 8c | 6,227$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabed…5a59backed No | 7c | 4,116$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 0c | 3,702$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e20fbacked No | 8c | 3,353$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.24 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49de…1778backed No | 8c | 3,095$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…036cbacked No | 7c | 3,020$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96b…e05dbacked No | 6c | 2,414$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.07 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6269…3ecbbacked No | 7c | 2,321$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed No | 7c | 2,209$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.56 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes | 80c | 2,159$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.02 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 9c | 2,011$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.6 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…0c39backed No | 7c | 1,906$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7af8…27a6backed No | 7c | 1,895$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7b…0406backed No | 7c | 1,790$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf40…c94bbacked No | 7c | 1,616$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c2…e953backed No | 7c | 1,595$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707c…2cbcbacked No | 7c | 1,549$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…4e87backed No | 8c | 1,548$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -53%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1174…c81ebacked No | 7c | 1,540$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…ecd0backed No | 8c | 1,464$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ced…ac2cbacked No | 7c | 1,420$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc65…98cfbacked No | 7c | 1,356$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x933e…0c93backed No | 8c | 1,269$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x271d…ebf3backed No | 7c | 1,247$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 8c | 1,239$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.23 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…b9d3backed No | 8c | 1,223$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb48d…8d6fbacked No | 7c | 1,199$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977b…a085backed No | 7c | 1,189$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b0…353abacked No | 7c | 1,182$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…a8d0backed No | 8c | 1,174$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…12ffbacked No | 8c | 1,157$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c3…7fb9backed No | 8c | 1,148$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 7c | 1,145$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.37 | 230 | 24.3%56 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7a…22cdbacked No | 7c | 1,137$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…5c3dbacked No | 8c | 1,110$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…bf16backed No | 7c | 1,105$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee5…a3bfbacked No | 7c | 1,103$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…4070backed No | 7c | 1,091$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf9…fde7backed No | 8c | 1,052$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2d…a919backed No | 7c | 1,040$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542b…39d5backed No | 8c | 974$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94b5…096cbacked No | 8c | 944.87$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.59 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38fb…5589backed No | 8c | 922$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x515f…2e58backed No | 7c | 916$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd35…254cbacked No | 7c | 896$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 10c | 865.42$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.01 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b85…ae28backed No | 8c | 847$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d17…a5c9backed No | 8c | 847$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 8c | 837.94$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.03 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2263…e208backed No | 7c | 829$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.03 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb95…73b7backed No | 5c | 794$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9c…e532backed No | 7c | 775$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x724d…8deabacked No | 8c | 716.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 10c | 703.9$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…544dbacked No | 7c | 690$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd3…49d3backed No | 7c | 679$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252c…908fbacked No | 7c | 625$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5e…7a6cbacked No | 8c | 575$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f1…c9abbacked No | 7c | 569$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed No | 8c | 565.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f2…f856backed No | 7c | 560$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 5c | 545.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed No | 20c | 499.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x739e…d340backed No | 8c | 472.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8109…2153backed No | 6c | 468.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…c7b6backed No | 8c | 463$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc273…681ebacked No | 7c | 452$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f23…d451backed No | 8c | 434.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 10c | 430.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 342 | 47.4%162 W · 180 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c5…cf79backed No | 8c | 427$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd625…c6d9backed No | 7c | 421$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…8397backed No | 7c | 403.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 7c | 401.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 37 | 0%0 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b68…071abacked No | 8c | 363.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd47f…6bdcbacked No | 8c | 350$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 7c | 316$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…22c2backed No | 8c | 305$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcccb…f289backed No | 7c | 303$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5788…5437backed No | 7c | 263$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb11d…52b7backed No | 9c | 254.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63f0…8af3backed No | 8c | 253$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 50c | 248.12$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.06 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf9…35f4backed No | 6c | 248$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked No | 7c | 229.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6efd…ef44backed No | 8c | 217$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…0852backed No | 7c | 203$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…7af4backed No | 14c | 201.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -53%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 17c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50d1…6ab2backed No | 7c | 178$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…1ebbbacked Yes | 80c | 134.76$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc396…27a2backed No | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 12c | 124.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 79 | 10.1%8 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…004cbacked No | 33c | 110$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f61…4425backed Yes | 76c | 43.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4579…9f19backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Carson Schwesinger be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?this page
- Will Abdul Carter be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will Donovan Ezeiruaku be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will JT Tuimoloau be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will Jahdae Barron be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will Jalon Walker be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will James Pearce Jr. be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will Jihaad Campbell be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will Malarki Starks be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will Mason Graham be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will Mike Green be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will Mykel Williams be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will Nick Emmanowori be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will Shemar Stewart be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will Travis Hunter be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will Walter Nolen be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?No won
- Will Will Johnson be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.