Champions League · resolved market
Will Barcelona beat Benfica?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3130825f4c2ce890946bb6aef6f37d5c5225ace00c96cfe3cab310bb51f5d321
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 19c | 10,107$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,210.1 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 73c | 5,576$4,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,048.93 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 17c | 2,634$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.27 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 8c | 2,295$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.58 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c36…12b1backed Yes | 40c | 1,732$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Yes | 10c | 1,550$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 10c | 1,450$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6d…f360backed Yes | 8c | 1,198$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.77 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…63a1backed Yes | 15c | 1,099$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 41c | 1,008$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.07 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Yes | 6c | 865.1$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.19 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 9c | 590.7$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.4 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.24 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed No | 5c | 555$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa25a…1289backed Yes | 12c | 434.26$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +326%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed No | 53c | 301.2$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.34 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 3c | 296.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.95 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a69…ab30backed Yes | 12c | 231.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +760.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x362d…8cb0backed Yes | 12c | 209.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.32 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 17c | 203.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.86 | 107 | 17.8%19 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718c…f792backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +123.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 28cpaid | +217.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7c…5947backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e8…0819backed Yes | 50c | 196.65$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…ba27backed Yes | 40c | 173.9$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed No | 73c | 156.67$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.07 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…9b13backed Yes | 36c | 154.91$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aab…c911backed Yes | 9c | 128.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.19 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…7b30backed Yes | 44c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +227.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 51c | 112$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31da…6ba9backed Yes | 15c | 103.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +231.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 67c | 59.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…c689backed Yes | 63c | 55.15$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x847a…e5dabacked Yes | 27c | 54.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +274.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed No | 62c | 50.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe847…f8bdbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…6415backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 24c | 48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e5…57e9backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…d3d1backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x395c…9a3abacked Yes | 50c | 33.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…8e9bbacked Yes | 51c | 29.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 70c | 24.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Barcelona beat Benfica?this page
- Will Benfica beat Barcelona?No won
- Will the match between Benfica and Barcelona end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.