Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump reduce majority of tariffs before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1cd536d805a98563a4c7221fd088dabdebdba500f32505b646a440c0a044e77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 56c | 10,959$6,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,853.5 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 56c | 10,176$5,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,690.82 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed No | 47c | 4,763$2,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222.72 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed No | 44c | 4,659$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.12 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked No | 43c | 3,990$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.64 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 46c | 2,696$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.3 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8225…c4a8backed Yes | 57c | 2,179$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…d431backed No | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed No | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.99 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b9…c2b6backed No | 42c | 1,950$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 46c | 1,772$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.76 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 58c | 1,600$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.19 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x416e…64a8backed Yes | 52c | 1,539$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…b5e3backed No | 48c | 1,422$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked No | 25c | 1,344$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.47 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…f4a4backed No | 7c | 1,229$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.38 | 82 | 8.5%7 W · 75 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 44c | 1,201$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3418…a3f2backed Yes | 39c | 1,120$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 15c | 1,072$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.44 | 111 | 21.6%24 W · 87 L | +11.4wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +179.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 43c | 1,002$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.86 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed No | 5c | 1,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa1…636cbacked Yes | 55c | 920$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 53c | 913.27$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.54 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 29c | 872$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.12 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cf…1f03backed Yes | 54c | 800$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed No | 68c | 785.21$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.94 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 29c | 740$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.2 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 7c | 721.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a49…3ceebacked Yes | 49c | 721.04$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.06 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +131.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Yes | 51c | 538.93$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.47 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd9…0145backed No | 55c | 521.42$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd572…7bdabacked No | 15c | 520$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab5…ba4abacked Yes | 47c | 518.51$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.81 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 33c | 510$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.6 | 135 | 25.9%35 W · 100 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…9b0fbacked Yes | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 61c | 497.59$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.1 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…4021backed Yes | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 51c | 443.63$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.11 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed No | 51c | 417.19$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.77 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6faf…6021backed No | 49c | 411.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0d…0048backed No | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 33c | 370$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.27 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 69c | 368.55$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.16 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc813…44dabacked Yes | 56c | 352.73$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4427…498dbacked No | 54c | 350$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b58…eba2backed Yes | 54c | 345.46$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…658cbacked No | 62c | 322.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…6866backed Yes | 50c | 317.1$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…2423backed No | 49c | 307.18$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.52 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed No | 4c | 305.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 215 | 4.2%9 W · 206 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 34c | 300$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 57c | 299.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377e…a9d3backed No | 45c | 266.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 71c | 264$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.34 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…e1b9backed No | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7e…d472backed Yes | 79c | 245$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked Yes | 38c | 245$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.05 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -17.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4d13…a018backed No | 51c | 222$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.22 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9308…e2f5backed No | 51c | 220$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…6439backed No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…69b7backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked No | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…9941backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +72%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed No | 6c | 199.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…7d2dbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2d…b371backed No | 6c | 182.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…8f71backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 54c | 180.2$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.31 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27e4…7ef1backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe219…2fdfbacked No | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91c6…281ebacked Yes | 52c | 170.8$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.67 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc9df…d8bcbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked No | 62c | 150$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.3 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x169b…30c9backed No | 40c | 150$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd74d…85e9backed No | 71c | 140$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 39c | 131.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.41 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09cd…8be5backed No | 43c | 126.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb553…88cebacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…30babacked No | 56c | 110$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2277…8145backed No | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 58c | 103.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 53c | 101$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e72…9938backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91fb…2771backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.27 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ad…959cbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…0d5ebacked No | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 47c | 98.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4e…7168backed No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 22c | 97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 46c | 93.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 116 | 12.9%15 W · 101 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75b9…f7a6backed No | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba3b…eea1backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…4967backed Yes | 45c | 84.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 39c | 77.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.22 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8928…dcc9backed Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…9adabacked Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.