South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-03-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6b7c8baf4660adbb142bd89addd8d4cf2eaf06d14e7c1e040e209ff794d00d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.98 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 4c | 2,887$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.3 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 8c | 1,800$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…8621backed Yes | 3c | 1,301$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…095bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,284$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 74c | 1,234$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.69 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08aa…0126backed Yes | 5c | 1,200$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 28c | 800$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 751.06$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.85 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…3360backed Yes | 16c | 642.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 80c | 614.38$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.42 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x573c…c365backed Yes | 36c | 416.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 57c | 384$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.12 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 77c | 377.66$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.8 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 38c | 360$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.25 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed No | 58c | 304.76$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 20c | 300$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 57c | 261.61$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.55 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 40c | 221$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.33 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 23c | 197.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 68c | 185.93$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 57c | 177.5$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.33 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec6…b59abacked Yes | 15c | 166.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 63c | 166$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.28 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 36c | 161.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 56c | 151.26$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 62c | 138.1$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…843bbacked Yes | 37c | 129.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 60c | 124.39$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.26 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 57c | 123$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 57c | 111.91$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.12 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed No | 58c | 107.85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 33c | 102.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…20dfbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 39c | 96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 57c | 89.7$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed No | 68c | 73.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x751d…9f55backed Yes | 44c | 68.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…d43bbacked Yes | 35c | 64.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 44c | 63.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 41c | 56.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 58c | 53.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 36c | 48.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 58c | 36.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f8…73b4backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 36c | 34.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…cb5dbacked No | 58c | 34.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +94%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed No | 57c | 33.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked No | 59c | 28.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 58c | 27.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 56c | 21.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 66c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 64c | 19.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed No | 57c | 18.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 58c | 18.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-03-02?this page
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-03-02?Yes won
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.