NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Kraken
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2f4ae1e941525054bc5d9b8980a3f062ae41ea8c5df4e230132be0df7bdd106
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Oilers, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $466,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $509,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $466,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 786 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Kraken | 43c | 88,183$37,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,816.77 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Oilers | 57c | 44,205$25,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,008.15 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Kraken | 42c | 30,000$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,600 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Oilers | 57c | 28,576$16,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,250.25 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Oilers | 58c | 25,555$14,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,733.1 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Kraken | 42c | 25,000$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,499.98 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Oilers | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Oilers | 58c | 13,673$7,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,742.79 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Oilers | 57c | 11,800$6,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,073.97 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Oilers | 58c | 10,376$6,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,357.92 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Kraken | 0c | 7,087$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Kraken | 42c | 5,571$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.82 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Oilers | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oilers | 57c | 3,675$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.29 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Kraken | 1c | 3,663$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Kraken | 42c | 3,500$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Oilers | 58c | 3,458$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.6 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Kraken | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Kraken | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5491…ef09backed Oilers | 59c | 2,875$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1f…c961backed Kraken | 43c | 2,870$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Oilers | 73c | 2,243$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.97 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52e8…c4cdbacked Oilers | 57c | 2,153$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.99 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Oilers | 57c | 2,140$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.11 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Kraken | 41c | 1,971$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.21 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Kraken | 43c | 1,963$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Oilers | 58c | 1,788$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.06 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Kraken | 43c | 1,651$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Oilers | 59c | 1,635$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.49 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Oilers | 79c | 1,607$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.73 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Kraken | 41c | 1,524$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.84 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Kraken | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Kraken | 27c | 1,500$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Kraken | 43c | 1,400$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa43e…a838backed Kraken | 44c | 1,383$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf6…ab59backed Oilers | 56c | 1,383$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Oilers | 57c | 1,315$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.45 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98f…5cd0backed Kraken | 44c | 1,315$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56f1…7184backed Oilers | 56c | 1,315$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2712…8f6cbacked Oilers | 56c | 1,275$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb38…3c1ebacked Kraken | 44c | 1,275$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ce…c925backed Kraken | 44c | 1,257$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b73…6417backed Oilers | 56c | 1,257$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Oilers | 58c | 1,206$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.52 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3a…d1d8backed Oilers | 56c | 1,202$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.88 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x658e…1770backed Kraken | 44c | 1,202$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Kraken | 42c | 1,202$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.69 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Oilers | 58c | 1,180$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.6 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…7706backed Oilers | 56c | 1,178$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…0701backed Kraken | 44c | 1,178$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47df…b645backed Oilers | 56c | 1,161$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cb…d457backed Kraken | 44c | 1,161$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8631…06c2backed Oilers | 56c | 1,152$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca4…7d15backed Kraken | 44c | 1,152$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Kraken | 44c | 1,140$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8530…152bbacked Kraken | 44c | 1,122$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5b…e77dbacked Oilers | 56c | 1,122$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.68 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Oilers | 58c | 1,112$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.49 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Kraken | 43c | 1,111$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.73 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae46…eecfbacked Oilers | 58c | 1,099$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd7…1c79backed Kraken | 44c | 1,093$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eef…52debacked Oilers | 56c | 1,093$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…8f33backed Kraken | 44c | 1,092$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7c…74ecbacked Oilers | 56c | 1,092$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9959…9501backed Kraken | 44c | 1,090$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9460…758dbacked Oilers | 56c | 1,090$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439a…c68ebacked Kraken | 44c | 1,079$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadef…4e34backed Oilers | 56c | 1,079$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Oilers | 57c | 1,077$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.11 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…5e14backed Oilers | 56c | 1,045$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d0b1backed Kraken | 44c | 1,045$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…de86backed Kraken | 44c | 1,032$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f23…e6bfbacked Oilers | 56c | 1,032$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f4…232ebacked Oilers | 56c | 1,030$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb905…28a2backed Kraken | 44c | 1,030$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25e6…8c45backed Kraken | 44c | 1,027$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5abc…4b0ebacked Oilers | 56c | 1,027$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdac…f14abacked Oilers | 56c | 1,026$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f50…5af3backed Kraken | 44c | 1,026$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…7ac6backed Oilers | 56c | 1,026$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8064…4da2backed Kraken | 44c | 1,026$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…c7edbacked Oilers | 56c | 1,025$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b93…e2e5backed Kraken | 44c | 1,025$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +54%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…6ed3backed Kraken | 44c | 1,023$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…27afbacked Oilers | 56c | 1,023$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a0…7b04backed Kraken | 44c | 1,022$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.68 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 47cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8432…9ffcbacked Oilers | 56c | 1,022$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oilers | 73c | 1,019$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.02 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5723…04b6backed Kraken | 44c | 1,008$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1028…c7a2backed Oilers | 56c | 1,008$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38f9…9e6abacked Kraken | 44c | 1,007$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.08 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe4…79aebacked Oilers | 56c | 1,007$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.08 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x506d…f8f3backed Kraken | 44c | 1,004$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43c4…e031backed Oilers | 56c | 1,004$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6e…6425backed Oilers | 56c | 1,002$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…db1dbacked Kraken | 44c | 1,002$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…abc0backed Oilers | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…3d88backed Oilers | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…f874backed Kraken | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x719a…56c0backed Kraken | 44c | 996$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Krakenthis page
- Oilers vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Oilers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.