Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x770d1a2ed6624fb855372d46e210ba5cf892ab44ff80aa4fc54f53587019256d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 2c | 4,227$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.86 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf352…a070backed Yes | 20c | 1,680$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.95 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 2c | 1,268$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 31c | 834.38$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.6 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 61c | 593.03$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.23 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 67c | 374.5$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.02 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea55…558fbacked Yes | 38c | 365.45$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.87 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…ad84backed Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 507 | 3.4%17 W · 490 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 73c | 292$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 69c | 213.25$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.37 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f4…f04cbacked Yes | 32c | 197.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.04 | 174 | 40.8%71 W · 103 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked Yes | 42c | 194.73$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 402 | 37.1%149 W · 253 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 62c | 181.65$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 67c | 180$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4653…fc2bbacked Yes | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…e862backed No | 63c | 166$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.24 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41aa…9e8cbacked Yes | 6c | 164.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 607 | 3.3%20 W · 587 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 39c | 156.87$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.58 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c00…0c2fbacked Yes | 37c | 140.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 50c | 139$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.36 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 73c | 129.08$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 63c | 119.93$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.06 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 64c | 119.84$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 70c | 119.17$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 18c | 118.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 64c | 116.85$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 16c | 115.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 63c | 109.71$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 40c | 102.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked No | 55c | 91.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 69c | 91$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 61c | 89.4$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…2b94backed Yes | 41c | 89.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 64c | 86$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 64c | 84.58$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 75c | 80.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…d803backed Yes | 42c | 80.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 401 | 32.9%132 W · 269 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2f…1d7bbacked Yes | 29c | 78.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 36c | 78.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 35c | 76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 74c | 76$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c9…17afbacked Yes | 47c | 73.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 70c | 69.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 38c | 65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb074…9fb3backed Yes | 35c | 63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 41c | 58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 425 | 44%187 W · 238 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 21c | 57.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 618 | 21.2%131 W · 487 L | -34.2wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad3…e651backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 333 | 51.7%172 W · 161 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…3a35backed Yes | 37c | 53.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…9da2backed Yes | 28c | 52.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | +12.1wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…7451backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 46c | 52.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed Yes | 44c | 52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 60c | 50.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…e1acbacked Yes | 36c | 50.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…aaabbacked Yes | 34c | 50.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 421 | 51.8%218 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x422a…dc4bbacked No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…3b5dbacked Yes | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | +13.3wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…fc14backed No | 62c | 45.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 39c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 37c | 44.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…4cdebacked No | 58c | 43.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d0…b73abacked No | 60c | 43.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 63c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32c9…5a3ebacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 43c | 37.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…7017backed Yes | 42c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 656 | 27.4%180 W · 476 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4e…9321backed Yes | 49c | 36.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked No | 65c | 35.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d5…9f2abacked Yes | 56c | 34.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked No | 62c | 32.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 78c | 27.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 475 | 38.1%181 W · 294 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 63c | 24.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 62c | 20.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 649 | 60.2%391 W · 258 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 284 | 56%159 W · 125 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 55c | 19.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…a773backed No | 63c | 19.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8786…6884backed No | 56c | 18.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 2?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 2?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C or higher on June 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.