Serie A · resolved market
AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6130cf0c9f4897b5516eb9bdb4cf3e16f2c37750a5ebd32b1c3b074a8dc06c8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 2,099$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.27 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9c…4695backed Yes | 53c | 1,283$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 43c | 1,262$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.94 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.97 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 991.2$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.9 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 57c | 730.46$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.14 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes | 76c | 648.42$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.62 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 57c | 598.19$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.22 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 42c | 595.15$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.96 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 58c | 504.21$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.77 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -11.7wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…dc0fbacked Yes | 57c | 452.92$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 43c | 449.1$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.11 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 44c | 361.22$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.24 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 57c | 341.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.98 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 57c | 317.3$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.44 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 43c | 300.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.18 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…468cbacked No | 44c | 299.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 45c | 298.01$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.1 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 56c | 295.97$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.23 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 275.18$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.54 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71fd…1397backed Yes | 76c | 259.37$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Yes | 58c | 252.1$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.88 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 42c | 240.81$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.14 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 239.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.56 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 55c | 234.82$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.67 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 57c | 224.82$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.14 | 141 | 59.6%84 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 56c | 212.67$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.22 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 56c | 212.67$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.22 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 42c | 209.36$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.01 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Yes | 58c | 199.1$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.62 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed No | 50c | 198.62$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.31 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 58c | 184.88$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8928…2fe5backed Yes | 65c | 173.21$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 44c | 172.83$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.7 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…9732backed Yes | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf853…8088backed Yes | 58c | 167.72$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.44 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 10c | 158.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 181 | 25.4%46 W · 135 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Yes | 52c | 138.21$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.34 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8a…9032backed Yes | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 38c | 129.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 44c | 120.73$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 48c | 101.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 30c | 100.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Yes | 69c | 96.13$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…ff59backed Yes | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 55c | 88.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…7ebebacked Yes | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Yes | 74c | 83$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 112 | 68.8%77 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Yes | 58c | 77.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf16…b409backed No | 26c | 65.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 55c | 64.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed90…d1ffbacked Yes | 53c | 62.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 43c | 61.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed No | 43c | 56.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc126…60aebacked Yes | 77c | 52.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 42c | 48.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed No | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…0b89backed Yes | 57c | 42.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…ae21backed No | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…c2f5backed No | 44c | 35.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8c…880abacked Yes | 58c | 33.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 55c | 26.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1094…21c9backed Yes | 55c | 26.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 58c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a4…e797backed Yes | 58c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 55c | 24.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…fefdbacked Yes | 58c | 23.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…323abacked Yes | 66c | 22.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…7bc0backed No | 47c | 22.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…8e90backed Yes | 70c | 21.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)AS Roma won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)AS Roma won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.