Serie A · resolved market
AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x446d1fee61cc1aea29b2ddf3d94d6b9515824936695b0554e0b214ce79bdb9f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Over | 76c | 6,140$4,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.99 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 4,168$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.84 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 25c | 1,528$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 26c | 1,100$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.99 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 76c | 433.78$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 5c | 342.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 80c | 270$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 24c | 268.43$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.42 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 30c | 262.43$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.18 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 23c | 261.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.24 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 70c | 207.89$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.34 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 12c | 171.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf16…b409backed Under | 10c | 164.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 75c | 145.04$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 133 | 66.2%88 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6602…7047backed Over | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 70c | 98.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 26c | 84.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 74c | 82.2$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 74c | 78.89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 74c | 71.22$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 141 | 59.6%84 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 74c | 66.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 72c | 61.66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 74c | 57.54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 24c | 56.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 73c | 54.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 74c | 53.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb5…c162backed Under | 26c | 48.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 74c | 40.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 74c | 26.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Over | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8c…880abacked Over | 77c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 77c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Over | 77c | 19.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5this page
- AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)AS Roma won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)AS Roma won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.