TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$351,835
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$355,778

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $351,835 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4d30…a42dbacked Over50c120,262$60,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,289.132634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-30.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee0d…57abbacked Over52c77,147$40,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,116.488743.7%38 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe74a…f1bfbacked Under50c27,000$13,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,5002100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under49c25,019$12,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,855.861233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Under49c23,521$11,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,995.57580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+55.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under48c21,672$10,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,254.446567.7%44 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Under48c20,183$9,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,495.331030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5af4…183cbacked Under49c16,167$7,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,245.28955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c16,013$7,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,139.832650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Over53c15,935$8,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,400.196048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c13,367$6,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,739.852,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under50c10,045$5,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,022.331872.2%13 W · 5 L+5.1wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+56.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over51c9,706$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,950.0618923.8%45 W · 144 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under49c8,587$4,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,383.4421548.4%104 W · 111 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under50c8,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0006165.6%40 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Under62c7,432$4,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,847.284254.8%23 W · 19 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under56c6,107$3,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,711.261,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0004971.4%35 W · 14 L+9.6wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd586…7c9bbacked Under49c5,342$2,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,724.21425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c5,108$2,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,646.393252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Under47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6503354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e01…0875backed Under48c4,037$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.07580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+51.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c3,596$1,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,824.968750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c3,532$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.1898544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under50c3,500$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7506365.1%41 W · 22 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x77e8…6854backed Under48c3,346$1,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,740.13560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Under48c3,023$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,572.21250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5005862.1%36 W · 22 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over51c2,755$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,408.3741954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cc0…b7e9backed Under48c2,713$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc1d…faffbacked Under50c2,331$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.353100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Under48c2,228$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.681560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+30.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked Under48c2,042$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.791258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0605160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under47c1,816$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.8213445.5%61 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under22c1,803$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404.441050%5 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+149.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under43c1,801$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.1141144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under50c1,578$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79115244.1%67 W · 85 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under49c1,530$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.36659.1%39 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under49c1,418$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.92941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under49c1,100$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5614860.4%29 W · 19 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+34.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under52c1,100$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52824953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Under48c1,017$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under50c1,004$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.4519154.5%104 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5009652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Under52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005666.1%37 W · 19 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5006369.8%44 W · 19 L+11.2wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5006170.5%43 W · 18 L+11.0wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over52c980.91$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.077749.4%38 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over43c979.79$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.313450%17 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under48c968.8$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.787560%45 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under50c900$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4506666.7%44 W · 22 L+9.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over40c872.89$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.8831051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fa…8c66backed Under49c862.57$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.91944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Over50c843.9$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.953221.9%7 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-24.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4005367.9%36 W · 17 L+8.3wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4006070%42 W · 18 L+10.2wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+36.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under43c745.73$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.849850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x598a…1bdfbacked Under48c706.42$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.342100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over57c687.85$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under51c622.33$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.9417744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under48c605.5$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.861957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Under48c590.97$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under50c583.78$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.4443058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8644…ad01backed Under49c581.64$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under50c526$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2634748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Under48c521.5$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.184146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over47c510.88$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.114339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2506167.2%41 W · 20 L+9.0wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+34.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2505867.2%39 W · 19 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+32.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under50c485$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.538547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under50c485$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.546047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under50c485$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.542347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over46c473.57$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.4196942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Under31c463.84$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.053100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+167.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under50c457.89$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.5410759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under50c420$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2108360.2%50 W · 33 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under50c420$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2107358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over36c412.03$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.8418125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under50c410$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2056465.6%42 W · 22 L+8.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Under48c403.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over51c393.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.3713447.8%64 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Under51c388.24$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.243100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+77.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under50c388$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1944669.6%32 W · 14 L+8.0wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+36.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under51c381.48$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.414159.6%84 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over52c375.1$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2121650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under50c370$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1856861.8%42 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under50c365.81$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.8651139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa9c…c6debacked Over53c354.99$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.155642.9%24 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over48c349.99$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16811349.6%56 W · 57 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Under49c322.4$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.84445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf00e…00f4backed Over74c304.63$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.431070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1505269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+35%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1505168.6%35 W · 16 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+34.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504866.7%32 W · 16 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+33.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18014748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under49c294$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9412452.4%65 W · 59 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Over66c287.58$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.