Serie A · resolved market
AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72e37444a691ceeaac7cbf5246b6b0f9bd8e0470812e131516ed74dcdded5ad7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 16c | 6,910$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.99 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 67c | 3,318$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.17 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 18c | 3,181$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.99 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 29c | 1,482$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.87 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 23c | 1,451$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.14 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 71c | 1,369$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.24 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Under | 61c | 976.6$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.87 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 61cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Over | 45c | 950.93$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 26c | 830.64$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.97 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 776.34$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.23 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 71c | 492.69$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.88 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 23c | 423$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 59c | 349.76$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.4 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +8.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd25e…f458backed Over | 29c | 330.14$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…916ebacked Over | 29c | 221.95$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.37 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Over | 26c | 207.51$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 73c | 207.2$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.21 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 40c | 203.11$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.25 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65f4…5222backed Under | 63c | 202.77$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.66 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 71c | 193.95$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 71c | 190$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 28c | 167.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 71c | 166.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Over | 43c | 157.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.61 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa920…ccfdbacked Under | 70c | 140.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 26c | 133.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Under | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 74c | 120.52$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Over | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 35c | 106.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 28c | 99.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Under | 70c | 91.57$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +62%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 26c | 90.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 63c | 83.53$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 29c | 82.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 85 | 23.5%20 W · 65 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 71c | 82.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b2…dcc5backed Under | 79c | 81.95$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…bb56backed Over | 30c | 79.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc4…3479backed Under | 75c | 74.09$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 26c | 73.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +14.4wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 74c | 72.83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 60c | 68.32$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Over | 16c | 67.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 27c | 58.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 71c | 49.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 31c | 46.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 29c | 44.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…9b6ebacked Over | 25c | 40.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 41cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 75c | 39.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed Under | 72c | 34.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 53c | 26.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Under | 73c | 20.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 78c | 16.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5this page
- AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)AS Roma won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)AS Roma won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.