Asian League · resolved market
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0570cba2058500c47f52943d05efc6f53d9633b45022c861d146d56592580a35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 7,197$4,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,134.99 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 48c | 6,669$3,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,219.26 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa604…1bf4backed Under | 70c | 2,872$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 61c | 1,843$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.41 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Over | 19c | 1,657$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +156.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d8…6052backed Under | 46c | 976.5$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 70c | 629.17$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.55 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 71c | 610.03$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.36 | 70 | 90%63 W · 7 L | +17.2wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +41%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 52c | 559.74$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.35 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 52c | 528.85$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 36c | 510.96$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.26 | 706 | 52.3%369 W · 337 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Under | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…b9f7backed Under | 24c | 499.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Under | 36c | 490.9$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.66 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Over | 78c | 471.09$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…17bdbacked Over | 48c | 469.99$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 53c | 390.75$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.21 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd4…5faabacked Under | 57c | 353.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc26c…b7cabacked Over | 20c | 280$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 10cpaid | +244.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 47c | 264.3$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.4 | 1,529 | 54.9%840 W · 689 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 42c | 257.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.36 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 46c | 215.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b5…56cdbacked Over | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Under | 50c | 199.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed Over | 62c | 193.38$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.38 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked Over | 52c | 192.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.08 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Over | 53c | 188.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Over | 56c | 175.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.96 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 48c | 175.9$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.47 | 349 | 59.9%209 W · 140 L | +49.9wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Over | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 66c | 154.12$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.4 | 381 | 59.1%225 W · 156 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 58c | 129.3$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 42c | 128.57$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 62c | 126.84$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 53c | 93.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 48c | 87.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.34 | 377 | 62.3%235 W · 142 L | +60.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 48c | 82.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 399 | 61.9%247 W · 152 L | +57.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 72c | 54.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked Over | 74c | 50.09$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 29c | 49.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 42c | 48.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 54c | 41.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 438 | 26%114 W · 324 L | -34.2wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 223 | 74%165 W · 58 L | +45.1wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 166 | 71.1%118 W · 48 L | +33.3wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 48c | 41.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Over | 70c | 40.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…b169backed Over | 52c | 32.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…c2b6backed Over | 62c | 32.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e6…819fbacked Over | 62c | 32.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb4…5071backed Over | 62c | 32.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 57c | 27.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 44c | 26.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 56c | 26.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 1,143 | 46.5%531 W · 612 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Over | 44c | 25.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 45c | 23.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…a781backed Over | 65c | 23.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 67c | 23.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over | 52c | 22.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 77c | 20.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Over | 59c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 77c | 16.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…55b6backed Under | 77c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Kawasaki Frontale (-1.5)Yokohama F·Marinos won
- Spread: Yokohama F·Marinos (-1.5)Kawasaki Frontale won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kawasaki Frontale: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 1.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 3.5Under won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.