Asian League · resolved market
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kawasaki Frontale: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x582f28d9bdd2d280fd71dc99822fdd1f39f18d2d5d9e752f9adeea93ebdad567
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed Yes | 61c | 999.99$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 62c | 806.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.85 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 794.4$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.44 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 39c | 275.77$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.2 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 39c | 215.17$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.35 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 62c | 213.55$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.15 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 59c | 170.73$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe97b…5ecdbacked No | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -43%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 61c | 163.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.41 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 39c | 153.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.55 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…47a8backed Yes | 77c | 52.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…271cbacked Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 62c | 35.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 62c | 35.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Yes | 61c | 19.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 58cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kawasaki Frontale: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Kawasaki Frontale (-1.5)Yokohama F·Marinos won
- Spread: Yokohama F·Marinos (-1.5)Kawasaki Frontale won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 1.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 2.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 3.5Under won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.