Asian League · resolved market
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e7b0fefd779188f6641afd3536d453b7fae94bd6f96f73d458a6053f2e371ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 1,521$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.76 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 44c | 999.71$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.53 | 146 | 29.5%43 W · 103 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 58c | 517.6$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.6 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 36c | 424.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.27 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 63c | 416.85$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.79 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed Over | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 42c | 387.62$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.56 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 37c | 367.57$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Under | 59c | 254.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.66 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…62f8backed Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 35c | 181.48$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.42 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 26c | 147.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 346 | 59.8%207 W · 139 L | +49.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 28c | 129.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 376 | 62.5%235 W · 141 L | +61.2wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 28c | 114.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +56.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1c73…dd8fbacked Under | 66c | 102.88$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…d8adbacked Under | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Under | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 55c | 66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 73c | 54.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed Over | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 27c | 46.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 60c | 46.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 47c | 42.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 71c | 35.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…642dbacked Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 46c | 29.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under | 56c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 56c | 18.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 65c | 17.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 135 | 63.7%86 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Kawasaki Frontale (-1.5)Yokohama F·Marinos won
- Spread: Yokohama F·Marinos (-1.5)Kawasaki Frontale won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kawasaki Frontale: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 1.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 2.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.