La Liga · resolved market
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x925db5002558960c4242b9de86aafb4b1ea0990f50a4a452c48e080a75dbf182
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 6,254$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,138.26 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over | 74c | 5,000$3,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.99 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 17c | 4,738$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.98 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 35c | 4,692$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.18 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Over | 53c | 3,500$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.84 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 30c | 2,281$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.73 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 29c | 2,118$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.34 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Under | 24c | 2,117$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.69 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…c230backed Under | 3c | 1,418$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +144.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 23c | 1,132$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 62c | 1,041$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.1 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Under | 3c | 700.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +50%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 26c | 679.35$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.56 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Over | 59c | 600$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e19…1495backed Over | 69c | 581.72$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 35c | 424.55$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…99febacked Over | 34c | 423.71$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.65 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 71c | 387.23$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.3 | 196 | 62.8%123 W · 73 L | +20.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Over | 67c | 365.75$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.7 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Over | 61c | 320.72$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.41 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Under | 49c | 290.82$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa864…e47bbacked Over | 68c | 259.62$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 60c | 224.3$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 175 | 62.9%110 W · 65 L | +32.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 43c | 220$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 34c | 214.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.89 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a36…5eabbacked Over | 80c | 202.48$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Over | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Over | 60c | 176.47$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.14 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Under | 26c | 144.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Over | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…00f4backed Over | 70c | 141.69$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…cdc3backed Over | 65c | 130$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 55c | 129.43$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 57c | 126.05$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Over | 70c | 125.92$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked Over | 66c | 120.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 34c | 112.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed Under | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 55c | 106.15$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Under | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…b2f0backed Under | 29c | 99.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 72c | 95.59$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 35c | 82.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 35c | 79.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 204 | 41.7%85 W · 119 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b36…5f5ebacked Over | 70c | 77.16$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 36c | 66.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…d973backed Over | 36c | 53.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 68c | 50.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3e…4d47backed Over | 54c | 49.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -44%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…953bbacked Over | 66c | 48.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Under | 46c | 47.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 35c | 45.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 66c | 44.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 124 | 70.2%87 W · 37 L | +30.3wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +70%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 59c | 43.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a28…4e3bbacked Over | 60c | 39.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Over | 28c | 39.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Under | 72c | 39.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 64c | 30.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +32.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7dc…af80backed Over | 69c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 68c | 26.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Over | 70c | 23.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77e6…0ae1backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 65c | 18.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 66c | 17.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 68c | 16.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 168 | 60.1%101 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 65c | 15.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5this page
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.