La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefdfae29f6a7ea78e18ec60952db5e9bf84caa5c98ed944dbaccd48546f131d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Sociedad de Fútbolof Club Atlético de Madrid, Real Sociedad de Fútbol
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 72c | 2,424$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.83 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 1,754$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.2 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586b…646cbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 7c | 1,199$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 77c | 1,021$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.45 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 717.6$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.93 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc679…029cbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 14c | 649.49$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 72c | 589.48$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.09 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 73c | 393.52$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 341.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 341.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 72c | 278.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.96 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 73c | 168.46$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 29c | 165.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 227 | 40.1%91 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 16c | 161.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 71c | 159.72$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 129.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 14c | 124.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 102.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…78aebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 29c | 95.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 78.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 72c | 75.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…37e6backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 68.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 68.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 74c | 66.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 72c | 63.11$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 22c | 57.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…5a62backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 50.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 29c | 49.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ef…8edcbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 29c | 49.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 30c | 47.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ea…3be0backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 72c | 40.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 73c | 21.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 75c | 20.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…0559backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 73c | 20.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)this page
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.