TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x57ea…3be0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst NFL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.66
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Hornets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+40.8%+$40.6
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+122.2%+$20.78
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Nuggets vs. Cavaliersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30.1
Grizzlies vs. Thunderbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+40.8%+$49.01
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+212.5%+$212.5
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+92.3%+$184.62
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+129.3%+$338.74
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+150%+$300
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$336
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Hawks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+455.6%+$100.22
Mavericks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+38.9%+$56.78
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+170.3%+$20.43
Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Warriors vs. Pacersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.47
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$23.6
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+203%+$40.61
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+163.2%+$43.4
Spread: Real Madrid (-2.5)backed Celta Vigo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$49.7
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Girona win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 14 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Rangersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Flames vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$163
Avalanche vs. Predatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Lightning vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+117.4%+$91.57
Wild vs. Penguinsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
All 5 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+44.9%+$9.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$34.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.