Euroleague · resolved market
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Barcelona
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x486ea849c11eb9fd2eff6c5ecf2edf083b46f951c4f4722d9d1b100a3e80ae11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barcelonaof ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne, Barcelona
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea32…8870backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 25c | 5,619$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.65 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Barcelona | 75c | 3,180$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Barcelona | 76c | 2,879$2,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.56 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 25c | 1,500$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.95 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Barcelona | 73c | 1,350$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.92 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 3c | 1,301$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 21c | 1,294$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.01 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…450cbacked Barcelona | 76c | 658$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.92 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 25c | 595.05$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.08 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Barcelona | 75c | 564.23$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.06 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 24c | 408$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 19c | 368.57$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.17 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 24c | 320.36$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.53 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 33c | 268.91$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…7a4ebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 26c | 265.52$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 27c | 239.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…ffedbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 8c | 232.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 24c | 209.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.21 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…3406backed Barcelona | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Barcelona | 76c | 190.56$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Barcelona | 76c | 189.51$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 23c | 185.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Barcelona | 75c | 165$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Barcelona | 74c | 163.51$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Barcelona | 72c | 145.46$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Barcelona | 70c | 143.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 13c | 142.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Barcelona | 76c | 138$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Barcelona | 78c | 128$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xacb0…f162backed Barcelona | 69c | 126.93$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Barcelona | 75c | 124$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 28c | 109.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 25c | 108$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc8…4d6fbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Barcelona | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Barcelona | 75c | 97.71$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Barcelona | 78c | 90$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…d3dbbacked Barcelona | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8687…1db0backed Barcelona | 70c | 84.29$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Barcelona | 75c | 66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -7.9wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…fd36backed Barcelona | 67c | 59.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed Barcelona | 69c | 58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 21c | 49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Barcelona | 75c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…0139backed Barcelona | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…2024backed Barcelona | 75c | 31.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e8…9e56backed Barcelona | 76c | 30.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed Barcelona | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 65cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57ea…3be0backed Barcelona | 69c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd943…862ebacked Barcelona | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Barcelona | 71c | 25.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c54…b506backed Barcelona | 75c | 23.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…584dbacked Barcelona | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc20…0522backed Barcelona | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Barcelona | 75c | 16.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Barcelona | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.