TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,330
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,640

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,330 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a91…c6b1backed Over58c19,450$11,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,169.137656.6%43 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c9,859$3,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,889.794,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Under44c5,031$2,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,228.457936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under42c4,656$1,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,964.812,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over58c3,025$1,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.611345.1%51 W · 62 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under22c2,564$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.253,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Under9c1,674$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.644862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Under50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Over54c987.67$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.8311149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe612…ee20backed Over57c854.56$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.463145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under41c748.68$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30774457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under42c597.78$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.0728357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under42c596.84$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.6735759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Over52c551.73$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.889634.4%33 W · 63 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under46c543$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.781,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under42c525.48$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.71,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over58c499.98$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.9918650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42a6…cb72backed Under43c482.9$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.651323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick41cpaid-49.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked Under48c411.2$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.371952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over55c389.2$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.145650%28 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over55c348.05$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.0169350.9%353 W · 340 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Over52c324.38$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.79237%34 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under42c317.4$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.181,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd1…d33cbacked Under42c264.98$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.29837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under42c225.27$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3675051.3%385 W · 365 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Under42c207.04$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.44445.5%20 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7736…2b3abacked Under27c206.15$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.71425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over50c183.74$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.8741351.8%214 W · 199 L+17.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under42c178$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7628045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf0a…6165backed Over58c168.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.593100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under47c132.93$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9589050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Under43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.63839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under24c118.27$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3833161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7333…d413backed Under43c112.3$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.29616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick56cpaid-69.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe29f…b2f0backed Under26c110.28$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.67333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425244.2%23 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under45c99.98$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4924546.9%115 W · 130 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under42c99.42$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7522446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Over49c98.55$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.269443.6%41 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb702…6bcfbacked Under22c95.32$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.972944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d16…1668backed Under51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.53812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick38cpaid-55.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea3d…2e9dbacked Over51c93.18$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.662630.8%8 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-44.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7541…7d75backed Over59c91.9$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.68475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over53c86.88$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8820360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd119…28abbacked Over57c84.94$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.213775.7%28 W · 9 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over58c84.03$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.295650%28 W · 28 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7569…ac76backed Under50c79.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.592142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Over50c77.6$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.832444.8%145 W · 179 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over53c73.34$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4714852.7%78 W · 70 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x572e…ac69backed Under44c65.72$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.911560%9 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over58c59.11$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2530842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under47c52.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6234252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under43c52.76$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8722658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf76…687cbacked Over57c51.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.05966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Under48c50.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.23040%12 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over52c49.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9924052.9%127 W · 113 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over50c49.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7423957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd10e…18dfbacked Over55c48.65$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.892748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over50c48.16$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.922456.3%126 W · 98 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed12…246abacked Under42c45.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+45.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Over50c44.12$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.069164.8%59 W · 32 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under30c42.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7798833.4%330 W · 658 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over58c42.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6549228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over53c41.76$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6324344.4%108 W · 135 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Over57c41.37$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7912156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9fb…c51bbacked Over53c38.87$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.272352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over52c37.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7123456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over50c35.31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6516660.8%101 W · 65 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under43c34.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8327653.6%148 W · 128 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Under43c33.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4911857.6%68 W · 50 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Over58c33.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1220047.5%95 W · 105 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3110…c3f5backed Over58c33.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.126968.1%47 W · 22 L+10.1wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+27.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Over58c33.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1217643.8%77 W · 99 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfb5…8740backed Over58c33.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.124748.9%23 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c0c…b4b6backed Over58c30.25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x409a…df2fbacked Under51c28.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.564463.6%28 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a91…7ebabacked Over57c25.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.023751.4%19 W · 18 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick65cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5bfe…0741backed Under43c24.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.432128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-45.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcb5d…ef01backed Over50c22.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d47…67d1backed Over52c19.77$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over56c19.59$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.626770.1%47 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6510…953bbacked Over58c18.84$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.911546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Over80c17.5$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.518062.2%112 W · 68 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.