La Liga · resolved market
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a1096eb226789fa54f019a267908bcf5646cc44c98c510434bf7559cff68085
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 61c | 4,801$2,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.42 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 27c | 4,432$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.77 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 74c | 3,245$2,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.69 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…f84fbacked Under | 72c | 2,714$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.97 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…d24dbacked Over | 25c | 2,498$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.45 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over | 53c | 1,941$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.47 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 70c | 1,038$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.64 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Over | 13c | 568.68$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.93 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 16c | 536.57$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.53 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 503.05$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.6 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Over | 46c | 449.99$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Under | 66c | 442.96$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.06 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 69c | 426.7$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.28 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 404.9$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.05 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a3…3b73backed Under | 76c | 389.32$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.47 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 73c | 385.11$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Over | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.36 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Under | 62c | 289.59$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a36…5eabbacked Under | 72c | 274.24$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 55c | 251.52$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.01 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Over | 53c | 220.03$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.62 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38ab…bd88backed Under | 77c | 199.33$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Under | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 70c | 140.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…b10fbacked Under | 68c | 136.62$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 18c | 132.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 21c | 112.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf16…b409backed Over | 35c | 102.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7569…ac76backed Under | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 38c | 90.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf3…8f91backed Under | 49c | 79.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -35%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Under | 65c | 78.32$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27de…9b6abacked Over | 16c | 76.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…aaf4backed Under | 75c | 71.58$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +86%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Under | 67c | 65.83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 50c | 56.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 50c | 54.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 28c | 51.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Under | 58c | 49.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c59…cdd8backed Under | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 53c | 46.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…aa35backed Under | 73c | 40.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0276…8454backed Under | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 53c | 28.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Under | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 77c | 26.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 58c | 23.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…8e90backed Over | 46c | 23.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Under | 71c | 23.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 53c | 22.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8209…bff8backed Under | 48c | 21.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 71c | 20.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 168 | 60.1%101 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4014…8c3fbacked Under | 74c | 19.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5this page
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.