La Liga · resolved market
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc75d5ee1fd5b94585c723307bb5e507834cdf3d5c6d1e2c21142b8921e3476b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 41c | 3,043$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.8 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 60c | 2,855$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.18 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 2,347$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.36 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 41c | 2,315$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.17 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Yes | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…217ebacked Yes | 60c | 1,498$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 1,150$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.16 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…8eafbacked Yes | 59c | 1,010$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.09 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…2277backed Yes | 58c | 819.79$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.04 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Yes | 61c | 806.64$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.49 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 60c | 556.32$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.53 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8a…45aabacked Yes | 60c | 547.86$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.14 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 49c | 496.47$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.32 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…cb72backed No | 41c | 482.3$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.74 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 40c | 469.49$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.59 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe184…920abacked Yes | 60c | 361.12$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 40c | 305.6$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.24 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 40c | 304.09$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.56 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Yes | 60c | 292.8$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.17 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…6f10backed Yes | 55c | 265.36$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.41 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 43c | 246.15$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.84 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed No | 41c | 216.54$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.23 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 44c | 179.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c3…c2e6backed No | 42c | 172.36$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0a…6165backed Yes | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 51c | 148.8$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.92 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 41c | 130.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa920…bdfcbacked Yes | 60c | 123.9$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 40c | 100.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…4f4fbacked Yes | 60c | 91.09$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5514…a9c1backed Yes | 54c | 90.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 46c | 87.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb446…2daabacked Yes | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 40c | 77.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 226 | 58.4%132 W · 94 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked No | 41c | 73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…626abacked No | 48c | 72.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…b7bebacked No | 14c | 72.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc2…4837backed Yes | 60c | 69.15$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 41c | 61.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0836…3ac9backed Yes | 59c | 58.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f9…7196backed Yes | 55c | 53.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…18dfbacked Yes | 57c | 48.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Yes | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 41c | 42.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…1668backed No | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 38cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Yes | 59c | 37.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fb…c51bbacked Yes | 56c | 36.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Yes | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 270 | 55.2%149 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 40c | 35.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…bfddbacked Yes | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 168 | 60.1%101 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Yes | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 69 | 68.1%47 W · 22 L | +10.1wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…e41ebacked Yes | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…953bbacked Yes | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7838…3e84backed Yes | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 41c | 30.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb302…702dbacked Yes | 59c | 28.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa92f…ce85backed Yes | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a4…e797backed Yes | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x101f…e4e8backed Yes | 60c | 23.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Yes | 60c | 23.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 59c | 22.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Yes | 60c | 21.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 59c | 20.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbda2…8937backed Yes | 60c | 19.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 55c | 19.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf881…3deabacked Yes | 60c | 18.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.