TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will NEOM SC win on 2025-12-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,899
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,324

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,899 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked No77c50,440$39,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,440.371747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes22c21,545$4,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,788.852,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes21c8,212$1,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,729.921,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes4c6,250$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.784226.2%11 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes25c4,538$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.8862652.6%329 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Yes9c2,353$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.121346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5207263.9%46 W · 26 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9850%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes25c1,932$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4833138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes7c1,786$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.7929425.2%74 W · 220 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1190…2a70backed No70c1,468$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes28c1,467$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.5762349.1%306 W · 317 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ed2…e7ccbacked Yes30c1,466$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes12c1,431$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.820132.3%65 W · 136 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-40.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes20c1,334$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.279435.1%279 W · 515 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked No73c1,322$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.075962.7%37 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed No77c1,307$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick78cpaid-56.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes17c1,232$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.545,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes24c1,209$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.791,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes28c1,071$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+19.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Yes18c834.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.123842.1%16 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x471d…cd8fbacked Yes13c796.12$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.83520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-68.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc658…7dcebacked Yes21c698.87$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88de…1091backed Yes28c697.01$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.6913821%29 W · 109 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes20c677.03$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.366546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed Yes15c660.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-38.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes12c556.72$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3916858.3%98 W · 70 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Yes25c529.27$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.025523.6%13 W · 42 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-34.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked Yes2c528.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.573933.3%13 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+59.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d5c…aad0backed No80c502.58$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1df…4404backed Yes22c460$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+58.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes19c420.64$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.8137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick24cpaid-82.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x55f5…01b0backed No76c405$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes23c369.09$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.895121.6%11 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes11c367.77$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes21c324.97$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.997338.4%28 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed No75c324.36$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.413534.3%12 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc53e…a45cbacked Yes25c287.64$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed Yes19c275$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.252528%7 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x050f…7f29backed Yes19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7529…5cd7backed Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Yes31c229.98$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.292955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed No78c200.26$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.062250%11 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-32.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b29…f712backed Yes6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes26c173.06$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6727540.7%112 W · 163 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdedc…8bcabacked Yes18c172.22$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes12c158.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1914840.5%60 W · 88 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes27c150$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.529917.4%52 W · 247 L-13.0wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Yes18c146.15$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2711458.8%67 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x478e…324dbacked Yes22c143.48$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321625%4 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-37.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Yes25c140$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick33cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed Yes19c136.32$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011841.5%49 W · 69 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed No70c110.2$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.063560%21 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7927…34d2backed Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick44cpaid-74.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023755.3%131 W · 106 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7b2…122dbacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57f2…d036backed Yes18c92.11$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.581540%6 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe615…506fbacked Yes24c88.49$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.99450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+70.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaa2…0cacbacked Yes20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-57.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked No71c75$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.751931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked Yes26c73$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.982147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Yes17c70.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.932737%10 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2298…ac49backed Yes16c68.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.312218.2%4 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8716…5830backed Yes21c51.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.77955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22ad…3cdbbacked Yes20c50.6$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd743…59bdbacked Yes21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.52157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7a…6823backed No73c49.59$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-54.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1aa…071abacked Yes25c48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb99f…f99fbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Yes29c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.618647.3%88 W · 98 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa686…8fccbacked No78c33.73$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.42633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-49.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1c2…e8a3backed Yes31c32.19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No76c27.44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5926749.4%132 W · 135 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeec…93f9backed No76c21.54$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00c0…4523backed No74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4889…9b17backed No74c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.94475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b9d…1555backed No76c16.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6191…e505backed No74c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.9771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd104…0c60backed No74c14$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4390…e842backed No74c14$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.64475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+25.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb17d…f9b4backed No80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.5560%3 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick76cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.