Tennis · resolved market

Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Ann Li

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0561113058db1c23a22c01283649d11f28b647aca96bbccdbf0d93672050030c

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Coco Gauffof Coco Gauff, Ann Li
Resolved: Aug 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $212,137
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $233,770

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,137 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Ann Li	11c	33,012$3,530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,529.75	9,038	36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L	-196.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-27%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Ann Li	0c	22,410$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.99	1,207	8%96 W · 1,111 L	+17.2wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+80.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Ann Li	9c	14,839$1,374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,374.15	1,512	24.1%364 W · 1,148 L	-41.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Ann Li	10c	12,695$1,235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,235.46	4,253	45%1,912 W · 2,341 L	+20.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-17%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7eb6…8b20backed Ann Li	4c	6,421$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	67	10.4%7 W · 60 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ann Li	11c	6,162$677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$676.54	11,666	43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L	+22.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-20%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5fd2…afcebacked Ann Li	14c	5,133$696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$696.27	83	41%34 W · 49 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ann Li	13c	3,508$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$451.35	8,702	42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L	-165.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Ann Li	13c	2,849$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.4	199	48.7%97 W · 102 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Ann Li	6c	2,759$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.77	285	48.4%138 W · 147 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a14…9fe4backed Ann Li	23c	2,291$527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$526.94	415	35.4%147 W · 268 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Ann Li	6c	2,175$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.56	5,009	41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L	-82.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Ann Li	13c	1,875$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.75	2,444	51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L	+14.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Ann Li	13c	1,500$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	3,319	48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L	-52.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5703…1048backed Ann Li	11c	1,480$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.99	117	29.1%34 W · 83 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Ann Li	14c	1,350$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189	368	38.3%141 W · 227 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed Ann Li	13c	1,220$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.58	107	49.5%53 W · 54 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Ann Li	12c	1,113$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.62	4,760	49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L	+176.3wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Ann Li	13c	1,046$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.01	1,754	49.1%862 W · 892 L	+56.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda79…9050backed Ann Li	13c	874.82$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	139	31.7%44 W · 95 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ann Li	10c	862.93$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.28	8,241	45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L	+166.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb624…3d80backed Ann Li	12c	813.35$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	144	39.6%57 W · 87 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Ann Li	7c	805.65$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.62	755	43.4%328 W · 427 L	-6.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Ann Li	10c	800$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.4	671	31.3%210 W · 461 L	-15.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Ann Li	8c	697.37$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	92	32.6%30 W · 62 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Ann Li	10c	619.3$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.08	5,422	56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L	+231.5wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x98a1…1c2ebacked Ann Li	8c	602.47$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	128	20.3%26 W · 102 L	-12.1wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Ann Li	9c	571.67$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.83	1,766	45.9%810 W · 956 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Ann Li	11c	561.79$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.8	2,326	52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L	+85.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Ann Li	6c	489.08$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.78	569	26%148 W · 421 L	-23.2wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Ann Li	15c	400$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	1,579	39.8%629 W · 950 L	-34.0wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa802…4575backed Ann Li	4c	381.45$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	97	42.3%41 W · 56 L	-5.5wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-24%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e39…fe16backed Ann Li	5c	380$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	716	21.1%151 W · 565 L	-29.3wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Ann Li	14c	352.98$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.98	5,325	28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L	-21.8wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Ann Li	13c	340$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.2	1,745	48.1%840 W · 905 L	-28.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x398f…30f2backed Ann Li	9c	316.35$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.02	169	41.4%70 W · 99 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…9e14backed Ann Li	13c	299.99$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	44	31.8%14 W · 30 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe521…9caebacked Ann Li	5c	294.18$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.68	445	27.2%121 W · 324 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Ann Li	8c	281.21$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.42	2,065	35.2%727 W · 1,338 L	-52.7wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d98…fe98backed Ann Li	13c	277.78$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	156	34%53 W · 103 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Ann Li	14c	276$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.06	364	34.3%125 W · 239 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc254…c435backed Ann Li	9c	225.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Ann Li	8c	224.96$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	1,904	44.1%839 W · 1,065 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Ann Li	13c	210$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Ann Li	13c	202.61$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.34	785	36.1%283 W · 502 L	+36.6wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed Ann Li	14c	200$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	+3.1wins	+0.09per pick	36cpaid	+7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Ann Li	13c	199.99$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	381	44.6%170 W · 211 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Ann Li	13c	190.22$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.73	1,515	37.7%571 W · 944 L	+24.7wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Ann Li	13c	190$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.7	1,102	52.2%575 W · 527 L	-7.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Ann Li	10c	188.34$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.56	489	47.4%232 W · 257 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Ann Li	13c	185.27$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.09	538	47%253 W · 285 L	-20.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd7e…c45cbacked Ann Li	12c	168.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	133	33.8%45 W · 88 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e87…91cbbacked Ann Li	13c	160$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	86	41.9%36 W · 50 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9538…96f4backed Ann Li	13c	158.73$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	125	32%40 W · 85 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Ann Li	16c	138$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.08	195	37.4%73 W · 122 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Ann Li	14c	123.41$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.11	1,071	36.8%394 W · 677 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedb8…b855backed Ann Li	13c	120.87$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.22	100	39%39 W · 61 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Ann Li	12c	119.98$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.88	119	38.7%46 W · 73 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Ann Li	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	593	47.4%281 W · 312 L	-7.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Ann Li	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	2,043	47.8%977 W · 1,066 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d1…66f5backed Ann Li	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Ann Li	14c	99.97$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	954	45.5%434 W · 520 L	+22.7wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x865a…4f00backed Ann Li	13c	96$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	82	26.8%22 W · 60 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Ann Li	14c	90$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	284	42.3%120 W · 164 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Ann Li	21c	75.97$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.95	6,652	50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L	+263.6wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Coco Gauff	79c	18.89$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.89	76	60.5%46 W · 30 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	66cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Ann Lithis page
Set 1 Winner: Gauff vs LiGauff won
Set 2 Winner: Gauff vs LiGauff won
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Li (+1.5)Gauff won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Ann Li

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event